NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	6.3 [577]		MVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): +13.3%
Sacramento Kings	112		Comeback	4.1 [224]		LVP	Raymond Felton (DAL): -18.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	5	79%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	6	72%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	70%	0.12	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02
Dwight Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	15	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	11	45%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	14	36%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	12	31%	-0.08	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	12	69%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.07	0.04	24	53%	0.13	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.07
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	8	68%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	14	50%	-0.09
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	32.4	15.0	30.8	1.6	35.4	141.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.5%

SAC +2.9%

SAC +0.6%

SAC +16.0%

DAL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	14.9	96.1	108.7	105.1
season	15.5	13.9		105.0	104.8
opponent	14.6	14.7		107.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.4	14.9	15.1	13.4	14.2
SAC	15.4	12.8	11.7	16.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	19	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-21	28	13.3	14.4	-1.15	14.9	13.6	1.26
Dwight Powell	28	29	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-18	22	14.1	14.2	-0.12	12.2	14.6	-2.36
Justin Anderson	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	6.5	14.3	-7.85	22.0	13.7	8.26
Jeremy Evans	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	6.5	14.3	-7.85	22.0	13.7	8.26
John Jenkins	8	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-12	10	9.9	14.6	-4.69	18.3	13.6	4.70
Chandler Parsons	50	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-13	12	14.3	14.1	0.16	13.9	13.9	-0.08
Raymond Felton	59	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-12	10	13.8	14.7	-0.83	12.9	15.3	-2.39
Dirk Nowitzki	62	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-6	-2	14.8	13.3	1.47	13.5	14.4	-0.84
Devin Harris	53	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-5	-4	13.8	14.6	-0.80	14.4	13.4	1.02
Charlie Villanueva	17	19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-7	0	13.6	14.3	-0.66	16.3	13.4	2.96
Wesley Matthews	76	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	3	-20	14.8	12.3	2.53	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Zaza Pachulia	60	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.02	-19	5	-24	14.7	13.5	1.22	13.6	14.3	-0.69
Deron Williams	74	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	6	-26	14.4	13.6	0.81	13.8	14.1	-0.23

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	80	80	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.04	24	-10	34	13.7	14.4	-0.68	14.6	12.6	1.99
Rudy Gay	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-5	24	14.1	13.5	0.54	14.6	13.0	1.65
Omri Casspi	72	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	5	4	13.7	14.5	-0.78	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Ben McLemore	39	38	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	6	2	13.9	13.9	0.03	14.1	14.3	-0.23
Seth Curry	42	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	10	-6	13.5	14.2	-0.76	14.3	14.2	0.10
Darren Collison	58	58	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	6	2	14.6	13.0	1.56	13.8	14.8	-1.01
Rajon Rondo	65	65	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	8	-2	13.5	14.6	-1.07	14.0	14.5	-0.41
Willie Cauley-Stein	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	11	-8	15.8	13.3	2.52	14.4	14.1	0.23
Marco Belinelli	33	31	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	17	-20	14.3	13.7	0.63	13.9	14.3	-0.47
Kosta Koufos	28	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	22	-30	12.5	14.4	-1.88	14.3	14.2	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
ORL 83, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.83,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
BOS 104, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.94,1,1	92.8%