NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	5.5 [731]		MVP	Walter Herrmann (DET): +22.5%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	3.8 [636]		LVP	Zach Randolph (LAC): -16.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.08	0.04	9	92%	0.28	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Fred Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	8	65%	0.13	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	14	61%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Acker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.02	-0.03	17	25%	-0.14	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.10	0.00	7	93%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	6	78%	0.18	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.03	0.02	18	63%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	18	56%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	19	54%	0.10	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Walter Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	31%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	4	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	24.1	17.8	22.1	2.4	32.3	127.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +35.0%

LAC -9.5%

DET +3.4%

DET +18.3%

DET +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	18.2	15.5	109.8	131.7	106.4
season	15.7	16.9		100.7	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.1		106.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.2	17.5	17.8	16.3	16.9
DET	18.1	16.8	19.2	18.8	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	22	22	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.12	11	-29	40	15.8	17.3	-1.53	20.0	17.5	2.42
Mike Taylor	9	9	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-24	30	18.6	16.7	1.82	22.1	17.7	4.41
Alex Acker	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	11.0	17.0	-6.01	11.0	18.3	-7.27
Fred Jones	41	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-15	12	16.3	17.6	-1.34	19.3	17.1	2.28
Marcus Camby	49	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-18	18	16.8	17.2	-0.36	18.5	17.7	0.87
Chris Kaman	53	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-13	8	17.0	16.8	0.17	18.6	17.5	1.12
Eric Gordon	58	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.14	-21	3	-24	16.8	17.4	-0.62	18.0	18.7	-0.68
Zach Randolph	55	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.20	-24	6	-30	17.1	16.7	0.41	17.3	20.2	-2.84
Baron Davis	62	62	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.02	-23	5	-28	17.4	15.6	1.70	17.3	20.8	-3.53
Al Thornton	60	60	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	0.15	-29	11	-40	17.3	15.8	1.53	17.5	20.0	-2.42

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	65	63	0.80	-0.30	1.10	-0.08	30	-12	42	17.6	20.2	-2.59	17.9	13.8	4.03
Kwame Brown	49	48	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.09	21	-3	24	16.7	20.3	-3.60	17.3	16.4	0.95
Antonio McDyess	70	70	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.11	24	-6	30	17.9	19.7	-1.84	17.1	16.1	1.00
Will Bynum	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	0	18	18.0	21.0	-3.00	16.7	20.2	-3.47
Arron Afflalo	58	59	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	18	-18	18.4	17.7	0.73	17.0	16.8	0.22
Walter Herrmann	45	46	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	14	-10	19.2	17.0	2.16	16.1	18.1	-1.99
Walter Sharpe	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	11.0	18.3	-7.27	11.0	17.0	-6.01
Jason Maxiell	38	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	19	-20	20.3	16.4	3.93	16.5	17.3	-0.82
Amir Johnson	7	8	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	26	-34	19.6	18.1	1.52	15.4	17.1	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.4%
HOU 89, CHA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.85,0.95,1,1,1	92.8%
WAS 98, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.68,0.64,0.8,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%