NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	6.7 [465]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +12.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	3.1 [517]		LVP	Terry Porter (MIN): -15.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cherokee Parks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shane Heal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.07	0.02	25	64%	0.17	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	60%	0.07	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Dean Garrett	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.07
Sam Mitchell	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	15	44%	-0.06	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Terry Porter	-0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	15	35%	-0.06	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	21	62%	0.25	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	82%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Dontonio Wingfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	64%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	1	75%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	18	45%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	13	54%	0.07	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	26.0	14.8	23.2	1.8	31.4	121.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +31.9%

POR +9.1%

POR +14.4%

MIN -6.8%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.6	101.1	106.3	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		103.3	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.6	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.9	15.2	16.8	15.9	15.2
POR	16.4	14.8	14.5	16.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	41	40	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-13	19	13.6	16.4	-2.84	16.3	14.9	1.41
James Robinson	40	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-8	9	15.7	14.7	1.01	15.5	15.5	0.05
Shane Heal	19	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-5	3	18.4	14.3	4.04	16.2	15.3	0.84
Terry Porter	73	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-4	1	14.2	18.6	-4.39	15.4	15.9	-0.58
Sam Mitchell	73	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	14.5	17.3	-2.80	15.5	15.2	0.30
Kevin Garnett	81	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	1	-9	15.6	12.2	3.43	15.4	15.8	-0.40
Doug West	86	88	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	4	-15	15.1	16.1	-1.07	15.2	18.4	-3.18
Dean Garrett	52	54	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	8	-23	16.4	13.6	2.84	15.2	15.9	-0.74

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	71	72	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.07	18	-11	29	15.7	15.0	0.70	15.1	15.3	-0.24
Isaiah Rider	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-4	15	15.4	15.8	-0.42	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Dontonio Wingfield	47	45	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	2	3	15.2	15.8	-0.58	16.4	14.0	2.46
Kenny Anderson	93	91	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	3	1	15.5	12.5	3.05	15.1	19.0	-3.93
Chris Dudley	66	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	5	-3	15.6	15.3	0.25	14.5	16.7	-2.29
Gary Trent	78	75	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	2	3	15.1	17.1	-1.92	15.0	15.8	-0.85
Marcus Brown	2	2	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	4	-1	12.5	15.5	-3.05	19.0	15.1	3.93
Stacey Augmon	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	7	-7	16.7	15.3	1.36	17.0	14.9	2.07
Jermaine O'Neal	20	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	12	-17	15.5	15.5	0.02	15.7	15.0	0.71
Mitchell Butler	14	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	15	-23	16.7	15.3	1.44	14.0	15.3	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, PHX 103	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.6%
IND 91, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	93.2%
POR 89, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%