NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	115		Excitement	6.6 [513]		MVP	Caris LeVert (CLE): +27.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	2.9 [954]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): -11.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.03	0.04	8	100%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	13	65%	0.15	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.02	7	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.04	0.04	19	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.03	16	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Julian Champagnie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Blake Wesley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Malaki Branham	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12	0.04	-0.13	0.03	9	58%	0.03	1	-0.14	1	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.12	-0.03	13	79%	0.33	4	-0.06	3	33%	-0.05
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.01	0.01	11	72%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	19	64%	0.13	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.02
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Craig Porter Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	11	36%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	18	42%	0.01	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	0.7	27.7	13.8	29.4	0.2	38.4	133.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.5%

SAS -2.9%

CLE +15.5%

CLE +2.0%

CLE +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CLE	NBA	SAS	CLE	NBA
this game	13.7	15.1	14.5	115.0	117.0	113.9
season	13.9	14.8		108.6	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.3		111.3	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.2	15.0	13.7	13.8	13.7
CLE	17.8	13.8	17.0	12.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Champagnie	34	34	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-11	20	12.0	14.6	-2.53	16.2	14.5	1.68
Victor Wembanyama	55	53	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.49	17	-19	36	12.7	14.9	-2.16	15.5	14.7	0.75
Jeremy Sochan	56	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.54	16	-18	34	12.5	15.2	-2.73	16.4	13.3	3.10
Devin Vassell	71	72	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.47	12	-14	26	13.0	15.3	-2.32	16.0	12.8	3.21
Blake Wesley	23	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	5	-12	15.3	13.2	2.03	14.6	15.2	-0.64
Tre Jones	73	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.54	11	-13	24	13.3	14.7	-1.37	15.6	13.7	1.90
Cedi Osman	44	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	17	-36	15.7	12.1	3.62	13.2	16.5	-3.25
Dominick Barlow	43	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	15	-32	14.8	12.9	1.87	15.2	15.0	0.27
Malaki Branham	33	31	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.10	-20	18	-38	14.9	13.1	1.76	12.2	16.4	-4.21
Keldon Johnson	68	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.31	-12	10	-22	14.3	12.4	1.95	14.2	16.9	-2.70

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	55	55	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.13	27	-25	52	13.1	17.6	-4.46	15.6	11.4	4.26
Sam Merrill	46	49	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.06	23	-21	44	13.1	16.8	-3.77	15.4	12.1	3.27
Caris LeVert	54	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	-1	4	15.2	15.0	0.14	14.3	12.9	1.43
Donovan Mitchell	75	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.52	-6	8	-14	15.5	13.8	1.73	13.6	14.0	-0.35
Max Strus	82	79	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.58	-9	11	-20	15.5	13.3	2.22	12.8	17.2	-4.42
Jarrett Allen	65	64	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.58	-10	12	-22	16.0	13.5	2.48	12.7	15.4	-2.64
Tristan Thompson	35	36	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	-10	22	13.5	16.0	-2.48	15.4	12.7	2.64
Craig Porter Jr.	8	9	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.08	8	-6	14	8.7	15.7	-6.90	16.3	13.4	2.89
Isaac Okoro	57	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.49	-17	19	-36	16.7	13.0	3.73	12.2	15.6	-3.41
Dean Wade	23	23	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.17	-21	23	-44	19.2	13.9	5.35	10.1	14.8	-4.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.44,0.47,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 85, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.7%
UTA 118, IND 134	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%
ATL 99, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.84,0.99,0.99,1	92.9%