NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	118		Excitement	7.1 [411]		MVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): +20.3%
Indiana Pacers	134		Comeback	2.2 [776]		LVP	Talen Horton-Tucker (UTA): -14.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.07	0.04	16	63%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	70%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	48%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	26	55%	0.13	6	-0.09	8	100%	0.03
John Collins	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	74%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Keyonte George	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.11	0.00	4	112%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.20	0.07	0.10	13	86%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.01	0.02	12	69%	0.15	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.05	-0.03	18	61%	0.20	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	12	59%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.02	8	70%	0.14	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Obi Toppin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	41%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	16	31%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.6	29.8	14.7	28.6	2.8	26.2	128.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.3%

IND +1.4%

UTA -5.2%

IND +24.6%

UTA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	13.5	13.1	14.5	109.3	124.1	113.9
season	14.7	13.7		113.7	120.0
opponent	14.7	13.9		117.3	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.5	13.9	12.8	15.0	13.5
IND	12.8	13.2	14.8	11.8	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Talen Horton-Tucker	44	43	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-18	20	12.4	14.3	-1.85	14.3	12.4	1.89
Ochai Agbaji	55	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-13	10	14.1	13.0	1.11	12.9	13.4	-0.49
Jordan Clarkson	77	77	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-11	6	13.7	13.0	0.70	12.7	14.2	-1.43
John Collins	61	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-9	2	14.3	12.5	1.76	12.8	13.5	-0.70
Kris Dunn	26	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-13	10	13.3	13.6	-0.29	14.0	12.8	1.20
Collin Sexton	38	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-9	2	13.2	13.7	-0.45	13.4	13.0	0.31
Lauri Markkanen	79	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	-4	-8	13.5	13.7	-0.27	13.0	13.5	-0.47
Keyonte George	69	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-5	-6	14.0	12.7	1.23	12.9	13.6	-0.78
Simone Fontecchio	44	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	-1	-14	12.4	14.3	-1.89	13.8	12.7	1.03
Kelly Olynyk	47	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.06	-19	3	-22	13.5	13.6	-0.11	12.8	13.4	-0.55

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	86	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-2	20	12.6	15.3	-2.68	14.0	11.5	2.49
Andrew Nembhard	44	47	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	0	16	12.3	13.7	-1.35	12.9	14.0	-1.05
Bruce Brown	73	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	3	10	12.9	13.5	-0.60	14.2	12.3	1.87
Aaron Nesmith	65	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	2	12	13.3	13.0	0.31	13.8	13.0	0.84
Jalen Smith	55	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	4	8	12.5	13.8	-1.28	14.2	12.8	1.39
Buddy Hield	48	51	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	6	4	14.3	12.2	2.07	12.9	14.1	-1.22
Myles Turner	52	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	13	-10	14.0	12.4	1.62	13.0	13.9	-0.91
Obi Toppin	47	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	21	-26	13.2	13.1	0.06	12.3	14.3	-2.00
Tyrese Haliburton	70	67	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	17	-18	13.5	12.6	0.90	13.4	13.8	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 115, CLE 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.44,0.47,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1	93.1%
MIA 85, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
PHX 100, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	92.9%