NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	99		Excitement	6.5 [496]		MVP	Zeljko Rebraca (DET): +18.1%
Detroit Pistons	105		Comeback	2.0 [866]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -16.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	90%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	19	55%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hanno Mottola	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	15	47%	-0.12	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.05
Toni Kukoc	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	8	39%	-0.05	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.17,-0.19,-0.18,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	26	41%	-0.06	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.07	0.01	9	82%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.05	-0.03	15	59%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	14	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	15	62%	0.16	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	6	29%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	13	53%	-0.03	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	29.2	15.8	20.4	2.3	37.7	131.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +63.5%

DET +10.8%

ATL -18.0%

ATL -2.3%

ATL -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	15.6	104.2	109.4	102.3
season	15.5	15.7		99.7	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.2		99.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	16.8	18.0	13.1	15.4
DET	15.2	14.5	17.1	13.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	54	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-6	6	15.4	15.3	0.05	13.9	16.0	-2.15
Nazr Mohammed	71	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-9	12	15.7	14.5	1.22	15.5	12.7	2.76
Ira Newble	76	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.34	6	-12	18	15.6	14.6	0.92	14.9	14.1	0.84
Jason Terry	83	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-3	0	15.1	17.5	-2.44	14.5	17.0	-2.52
Jacque Vaughn	24	24	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	6	-18	15.8	15.2	0.62	15.2	14.7	0.56
Hanno Mottola	28	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.07	-12	6	-18	17.0	14.7	2.31	15.6	14.5	1.06
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	85	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-3	0	15.4	15.3	0.08	14.8	14.8	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	54	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	3	-12	14.1	17.0	-2.96	14.5	15.1	-0.58

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	49	49	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-6	18	13.4	16.2	-2.78	15.0	15.8	-0.76
Jerry Stackhouse	85	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-1	8	14.8	15.0	-0.24	15.5	14.7	0.80
Corliss Williamson	45	44	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-1	8	14.6	15.0	-0.44	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Chucky Atkins	69	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.20	5	1	4	14.6	15.2	-0.60	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Zeljko Rebraca	66	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	0	6	15.3	13.7	1.54	16.4	13.2	3.22
Clifford Robinson	81	81	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	1	4	14.8	14.7	0.15	15.2	16.4	-1.16
Damon Jones	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	5	-4	14.7	14.8	-0.06	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Michael Curry	57	57	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.18	-13	19	-32	15.8	13.3	2.54	15.7	14.9	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.84,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 84, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1	94.1%
POR 85, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
SAS 90, NOP 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.5%