NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	84		Excitement	5.9 [597]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +17.7%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	2.2 [561]		LVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): -13.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.00	21	68%	0.25	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	12	67%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
B.J. Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	13	57%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	10	37%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	29	53%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.09	-0.00	9	68%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.10
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	16	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	5	-0.14	8	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.0	27.2	18.5	28.4	2.7	31.6	132.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH -1.4%

CHI +6.5%

CHI +28.7%

CHI +18.8%

CHH -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	16.2	17.3	15.6	97.7	108.1	102.5
season	15.7	16.2		104.0	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		97.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.7	17.0	19.6	14.8	16.2
CHI	16.3	15.7	16.4	21.2	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Reid	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-8	7	19.2	16.0	3.21	11.2	17.7	-6.49
Bobby Phills	50	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-10	11	15.5	17.1	-1.56	17.9	16.6	1.27
David Wesley	59	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-12	15	14.8	19.1	-4.33	19.1	13.5	5.59
Dell Curry	21	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	17.0	15.9	1.16	17.3	17.3	0.05
Corey Beck	19	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	3	-15	21.5	14.7	6.80	15.5	17.8	-2.29
Vlade Divac	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-7	5	15.7	20.1	-4.44	17.7	14.1	3.58
B.J. Armstrong	34	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	4	-17	17.3	15.4	1.90	14.1	19.4	-5.38
Glen Rice	86	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	16.2	0.0	16.17	17.3	0.0	17.31
Anthony Mason	80	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	-2	-5	15.9	19.7	-3.75	17.5	15.0	2.49

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	85	85	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-2	13	17.5	0.0	17.52	16.2	12.0	4.22
Dennis Rodman	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	7	-5	17.4	15.9	1.59	15.8	20.1	-4.32
Steve Kerr	38	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-5	19	17.9	16.8	1.13	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Michael Jordan	75	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	5	-1	18.0	12.7	5.26	15.6	19.7	-4.16
Bill Wennington	16	17	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-1	11	17.2	17.3	-0.16	17.1	16.0	1.10
Toni Kukoc	16	17	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	-4	17	15.0	17.8	-2.84	21.2	14.9	6.23
Randy Brown	15	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.07	4	5	-1	15.1	17.8	-2.64	18.1	15.7	2.40
Luc Longley	65	62	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.27	-5	14	-19	17.4	17.1	0.23	15.8	17.1	-1.32
Scott Burrell	7	7	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	5	-1	10.9	17.9	-7.03	17.7	16.0	1.68
Ron Harper	34	34	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	21	-33	17.6	17.1	0.55	14.9	17.0	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 68, MIN 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DET 69, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.95,1,1,1	94.2%
ATL 99, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.84,0.99,0.99,1	94.1%