NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	68		Excitement	4.9 [825]		MVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): +18.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	81		Comeback	2.1 [779]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -20.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	15	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	19	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.18	-0.01	-0.06	20	27%	-0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.10	0.04	19	71%	0.26	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	6	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	14	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	6	28%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	50%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	0.04	6	25%	-0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	24.7	15.6	22.0	1.6	26.2	113.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.5%

MIN +21.7%

MIN +6.8%

NJN -16.0%

MIN +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIN	NBA	NJN	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	17.0	15.7	75.6	91.0	100.5
season	15.3	15.6		98.1	103.2
opponent	16.1	16.2		98.4	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.3	17.2	15.6	14.7	15.2
MIN	17.2	16.3	17.2	17.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	62	64	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-14	15	14.3	17.2	-2.89	17.4	15.9	1.56
Richard Jefferson	79	80	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-10	7	14.6	19.5	-4.86	17.5	12.9	4.57
Lucious Harris	28	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-7	1	16.5	14.6	1.96	16.0	17.5	-1.49
Kerry Kittles	64	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-4	-5	15.0	15.7	-0.65	17.0	17.1	-0.11
Jason Kidd	77	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-9	5	14.6	18.9	-4.36	17.5	14.2	3.24
Kenyon Martin	77	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	15.0	16.2	-1.22	16.9	17.5	-0.54
Hubert Davis	11	10	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-6	-1	17.3	14.9	2.37	16.4	17.1	-0.68
Aaron Williams	28	25	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	1	-15	17.2	14.3	2.89	15.9	17.4	-1.56
Rodney Rogers	24	22	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	2	-17	17.7	14.3	3.44	15.6	17.5	-1.87

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	43	44	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-6	25	16.0	18.0	-1.98	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Latrell Sprewell	70	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-4	21	17.2	16.2	1.00	15.6	13.7	1.85
Michael Olowokandi	56	54	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.12	13	0	13	17.4	16.4	1.01	15.4	14.8	0.59
Kevin Garnett	73	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	2	9	16.9	17.2	-0.30	15.1	15.6	-0.45
Troy Hudson	71	72	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	11	-9	17.4	15.6	1.74	14.6	17.6	-3.03
Wally Szczerbiak	42	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	6	1	15.8	18.1	-2.25	15.1	15.3	-0.15
Mark Madsen	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	13	-13	17.5	16.8	0.71	16.1	14.8	1.29
Oliver Miller	23	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	13	-13	15.7	17.5	-1.76	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Trenton Hassell	41	41	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	17	-21	18.3	15.9	2.44	15.5	14.9	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 84, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1	94.7%
SAC 105, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.44,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
GSW 102, SEA 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.57,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%