inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 102 Excitement6.0 [588] MVPDetlef Schrempf (SEA): +24.9%
Seattle SuperSonics 121 Comeback2.5 [623] LVPJoe Smith (GSW): -20.2%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Price0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.00-0.011173%0.1300.0000%0.00
B.J. Armstrong0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.050.00367%0.0700.0000%0.00
Latrell Sprewell0.060,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.010.011573%0.204-0.147100%0.03
Donald Royal0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.040.00360%0.0400.00450%-0.01
Ray Owes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.031100%0.0000.00250%0.00
Chris Mullin-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.02-0.041568%0.177-0.171100%0.00
Todd Fuller-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01956%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Bimbo Coles-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.01825%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Felton Spencer-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.0030%-0.091-0.0520%-0.03
Joe Smith-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.12-0.050.041237%-0.133-0.07367%-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.200.070.011387%0.291-0.04580%0.01
Sam Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.04-0.03760%0.0900.00667%-0.01
Shawn Kemp0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.030.022265%0.163-0.07771%-0.01
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.140.010.081379%0.091-0.01250%0.00
Larry Stewart00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jim McIlvaine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.010.01450%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Craig Ehlo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00831%-0.0400.0000%0.00
David Wingate0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00333%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.090.02-0.011541%-0.013-0.0620%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.726.116.428.10.729.2126.3
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +24.0%
SEA +5.3%
GSW -10.1%
SEA +30.2%
SEA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSEANBAGSWSEANBA
this game16.114.315.6106.2130.1104.4
season15.014.9104.4108.9
opponent16.215.4100.8109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.117.616.217.016.1
SEA13.114.314.415.714.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Todd Fuller60580.04-0.540.58-0.053-222516.215.90.3613.615.6-2.03
Ray Owes540.00-0.510.510.06-2-171510.016.5-6.4517.214.23.05
Donyell Marshall540.00-0.510.510.06-2-171510.016.5-6.4517.214.23.05
Felton Spencer2221-0.10-0.410.310.02-4-151116.416.00.3215.514.01.48
Mark Price6058-0.10-0.410.300.05-5-14916.415.60.7614.214.6-0.43
Latrell Sprewell7978-0.14-0.370.230.07-7-12516.215.80.4314.215.1-0.95
Bimbo Coles3635-0.40-0.11-0.290.13-18-1-1715.816.3-0.5414.814.10.75
B.J. Armstrong3635-0.41-0.10-0.300.01-14-5-915.616.4-0.7614.614.20.43
Joe Smith7269-0.45-0.06-0.39-0.07-13-6-716.415.11.3214.114.9-0.79
Chris Mullin7168-0.48-0.03-0.46-0.19-10-9-116.714.52.2114.214.8-0.58
Donald Royal3435-0.50-0.00-0.500.17-234-2715.816.3-0.5014.814.00.79

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Detlef Schrempf71730.57-0.060.620.041811714.414.00.4416.913.63.30
Craig Ehlo49490.440.070.37-0.121901914.414.20.2417.614.62.93
Gary Payton79820.420.090.330.12109113.916.8-2.8916.314.81.56
Sam Perkins38390.320.190.130.11712-514.014.6-0.6115.916.2-0.32
David Wingate33340.310.190.120.02109114.314.3-0.0515.816.3-0.50
Hersey Hawkins64670.190.31-0.12-0.13118314.513.90.6315.816.8-0.97
Shawn Kemp78800.180.32-0.14-0.08910-114.115.4-1.2715.817.6-1.81
Eric Snow14140.090.42-0.33-0.17910-116.813.92.8914.816.3-1.56
Jim McIlvaine35370.010.50-0.490.01019-1914.114.4-0.3115.216.7-1.55
Larry Stewart450.000.51-0.51-0.06217-1517.214.23.0510.016.5-6.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.57,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 84, CHI 930.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,193.5%
NJN 68, MIN 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,193.4%
SAC 98, HOU 1160.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.88,0.95,1,1,1,193.4%