NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	6.4 [480]		MVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): +15.5%
Houston Rockets	116		Comeback	3.0 [824]		LVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): -9.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Terry Dehere	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	8	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Mitch Richmond	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.04	0.01	20	57%	0.13	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.06
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	18	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	55%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Billy Owens	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	17	62%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.09	0.02	9	70%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	9	72%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	0.00	4	73%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.06
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	17	62%	0.11	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	56%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	65%	0.08	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	22.2	16.4	24.5	2.4	28.7	122.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.4%

HOU +7.3%

HOU +7.8%

SAC -7.9%

HOU +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	17.2	15.6	108.9	126.1	102.5
season	15.2	15.7		98.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.7	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	15.0	14.5	14.4	14.4
HOU	16.2	19.2	16.2	17.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	47	48	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.12	11	-29	40	14.5	14.3	0.17	16.9	17.5	-0.61
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-14	10	12.1	14.6	-2.53	18.7	17.0	1.65
Michael Stewart	41	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-15	12	14.5	14.3	0.23	16.8	17.5	-0.67
Billy Owens	49	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.19	-9	-9	0	14.3	14.5	-0.27	16.2	18.6	-2.47
Corliss Williamson	76	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-14	10	14.4	14.3	0.12	17.1	17.7	-0.60
Bobby Hurley	13	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-5	-8	16.1	14.1	1.97	18.6	17.0	1.62
Lawrence Funderburke	35	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-10	2	14.9	14.1	0.86	19.1	16.1	3.04
Mitch Richmond	72	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-6	-6	14.5	13.9	0.56	16.0	22.0	-6.01
Olden Polynice	51	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	-3	-12	13.9	15.0	-1.03	17.8	16.5	1.29
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	30	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.02	-16	-2	-14	13.5	14.8	-1.28	17.1	17.3	-0.20
Terry Dehere	27	28	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	-1	-16	15.0	14.1	0.87	19.4	16.3	3.11

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	76	74	0.69	-0.19	0.87	-0.11	27	-9	36	17.5	16.0	1.49	15.2	10.6	4.65
Emanual Davis	48	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	13	-8	19.1	15.2	3.92	14.3	14.5	-0.24
Brent Price	21	21	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.07	10	8	2	21.1	16.1	5.07	16.0	13.9	2.04
Othella Harrington	23	25	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	12	-6	19.8	16.4	3.46	14.6	14.3	0.35
Eddie Johnson	43	41	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	7	4	18.8	15.9	2.93	14.1	14.6	-0.54
Kevin Willis	73	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.16	13	5	8	16.2	21.3	-5.15	14.0	15.8	-1.81
Mario Elie	71	70	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.14	11	7	4	16.1	21.1	-5.07	14.0	15.7	-1.75
Matt Maloney	48	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.30	16	2	14	15.2	19.5	-4.27	14.4	14.4	0.03
Clyde Drexler	19	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	19	-20	15.4	17.7	-2.34	14.8	14.3	0.49
Matt Bullard	38	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.12	-8	26	-34	16.6	17.7	-1.15	13.4	15.1	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.88,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, SEA 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.57,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%
DEN 96, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
IND 93, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.83,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.1%