NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	109		Excitement	8.1 [270]		MVP	Keyonte George (UTA): +41.2%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	2.4 [337]		LVP	Ochai Agbaji (UTA): -9.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duncan Robinson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.02	8	69%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Herro	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	22	51%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.00	11	46%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Nikola Jovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	2	150%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Cain	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Haywood Highsmith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.05	-0.00	5	33%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
R.J. Hampton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.02	13	61%	0.10	4	-0.14	20	70%	-0.05
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	9	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.16	0.26	0.00	10	84%	0.47	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	12	70%	0.20	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	11	45%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	14	65%	0.13	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	10	41%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	13	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.3	24.4	14.4	31.6	1.8	36.0	138.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.6%

MIA -11.8%

UTA +8.5%

UTA +13.8%

MIA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	UTA	NBA	MIA	UTA	NBA
this game	12.9	14.9	14.5	105.8	112.5	113.9
season	14.9	14.7		112.3	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.8		119.0	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.3	13.2	11.8	13.4	12.9
UTA	15.5	14.5	13.4	16.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	52	52	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-12	16	11.9	13.9	-2.02	14.7	15.2	-0.56
Nikola Jovic	20	21	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-10	12	13.5	12.7	0.77	15.5	14.8	0.74
Haywood Highsmith	60	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-12	16	12.1	14.0	-1.88	14.3	15.7	-1.45
R.J. Hampton	17	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-3	-2	12.9	12.9	0.07	15.6	14.8	0.85
Kevin Love	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-1	-6	13.8	12.2	1.60	14.7	15.1	-0.44
Tyler Herro	81	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-7	6	12.9	12.7	0.26	15.2	13.6	1.59
Jamal Cain	22	23	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	0	-8	13.2	12.8	0.44	15.6	14.7	0.87
Bam Adebayo	76	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-5	2	12.7	13.3	-0.56	15.0	14.8	0.23
Duncan Robinson	68	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	2	-12	13.3	12.1	1.12	15.1	14.7	0.36
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	76	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.21	-16	8	-24	13.1	12.2	0.95	14.7	15.5	-0.76

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyonte George	60	57	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-6	20	15.0	14.8	0.28	13.2	12.5	0.73
Kelly Olynyk	57	55	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-3	14	15.6	14.2	1.39	13.8	11.8	2.04
Jordan Clarkson	53	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	4	0	15.5	14.3	1.18	13.3	12.4	0.89
Simone Fontecchio	72	72	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	1	6	14.1	16.8	-2.67	11.9	15.1	-3.17
Ochai Agbaji	29	27	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	7	-6	16.8	14.2	2.58	15.6	11.9	3.62
Walker Kessler	57	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	-2	12	13.1	17.1	-4.00	11.5	14.5	-2.99
John Collins	39	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	14	-20	17.3	13.5	3.80	14.7	11.8	2.95
Lauri Markkanen	58	60	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	7	-6	14.6	15.4	-0.78	12.0	14.1	-2.04
Collin Sexton	56	58	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	14.5	15.5	-0.98	12.4	13.5	-1.15
Kris Dunn	39	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	8	-8	14.6	15.1	-0.51	12.6	13.1	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.57,0.44,0.59,0.65,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.94,1,1	93.7%
GSW 103, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.95,1,1	93.5%
NJN 88, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.2%