NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	104		Excitement	7.4 [372]		MVP	Corey Kispert (WAS): +24.1%
Washington Wizards	110		Comeback	4.5 [153]		LVP	Cam Thomas (BKN): -7.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	11	70%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	14	54%	0.13	2	-0.07	7	71%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	87%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	16	45%	0.05	1	-0.07	6	67%	0.01
Nic Claxton	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	44%	-0.01	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	15	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.00	10	75%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.12	-0.03	22	59%	0.28	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.02	7	53%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	18	52%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	0%	-0.09
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	24.2	15.4	24.5	2.5	33.4	124.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +71.8%

BKN -8.8%

BKN -27.6%

WAS +14.9%

BKN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	WAS	NBA	BKN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	14.5	110.6	115.8	113.9
season	14.8	13.7		111.9	109.8
opponent	14.1	14.5		118.7	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.1	14.6	14.6	16.3	15.6
WAS	14.2	14.2	14.8	16.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	52	53	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.21	12	-18	30	15.7	15.5	0.30	15.2	14.5	0.65
Mikal Bridges	70	71	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-17	28	15.7	15.4	0.27	15.3	13.7	1.60
Cameron Johnson	66	65	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-12	18	16.3	13.9	2.40	14.8	15.1	-0.35
Nic Claxton	59	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.34	7	-13	20	15.6	15.7	-0.15	14.5	15.5	-0.94
Royce O'Neale	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	4	-14	15.3	15.8	-0.53	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Day'Ron Sharpe	34	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	4	-14	16.2	15.3	0.88	15.9	14.3	1.59
Dorian Finney-Smith	67	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.23	-11	5	-16	14.8	17.6	-2.82	14.4	16.0	-1.59
Cam Thomas	46	49	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	8	-22	16.0	15.3	0.66	15.0	14.7	0.32
Dennis Smith Jr.	41	40	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.03	-21	15	-36	15.0	16.1	-1.05	14.3	15.3	-1.02

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	59	59	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.30	21	-15	36	14.6	15.2	-0.62	16.3	14.5	1.85
Landry Shamet	35	34	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-2	10	15.0	14.8	0.26	16.5	15.1	1.34
Delon Wright	32	33	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-12	30	14.0	15.3	-1.25	16.2	15.3	0.96
Deni Avdija	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-7	20	14.8	14.9	-0.05	15.6	15.6	0.09
Corey Kispert	32	33	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-9	24	14.7	14.9	-0.22	16.2	15.3	0.92
Bilal Coulibaly	41	39	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	-1	8	14.5	15.1	-0.62	14.1	16.7	-2.54
Kyle Kuzma	63	61	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.37	-9	15	-24	14.9	14.7	0.22	15.3	16.2	-0.92
Tyus Jones	63	61	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.37	-12	18	-30	15.3	14.0	1.25	15.3	16.2	-0.96
Daniel Gafford	36	35	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.02	-15	21	-36	15.2	14.6	0.62	14.5	16.3	-1.85
Jordan Poole	48	48	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.05	-16	22	-38	15.1	14.7	0.40	16.2	15.0	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.2,0.28,0.35,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	93.4%
NOP 82, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.97,1,1	93.0%
PHX 87, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.9,1,1,1	92.5%