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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 134 Excitement6.0 [599] MVPJabari Smith Jr. (HOU): +27.4%
Houston Rockets 127 Comeback2.0 [412] LVPJeff Green (HOU): -6.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.130.09-0.001173%0.2300.00475%-0.00
Trae Young0.220,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.220.130.05-0.041870%0.274-0.04771%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.170.050.031473%0.1900.002100%0.02
Clint Capela0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.130.010.02679%0.1200.007100%0.03
Garrison Mathews0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.04-0.01475%0.091-0.0200%0.00
De'Andre Hunter0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.011055%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.020.011560%0.103-0.07580%-0.01
Saddiq Bey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0-0.040.040.001139%0.021-0.011100%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00217%-0.0200.00250%-0.02

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.270.270.290.040.051481%0.2700.0014100%0.07
Dillon Brooks0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.210.210.210.040.049106%0.2100.0000%0.00
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.150.020.072065%0.142-0.049100%0.05
Alperen Sengun0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.010.021258%0.0300.0000%0.00
Amen Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00850%0.042-0.0800%0.00
Jalen Green0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.010.021942%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jae'Sean Tate0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00250%-0.013-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.51.831.414.728.71.832.2136.1
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +38.5%
ATL +2.9%
ATL +13.0%
ATL +1.8%
HOU -6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLHOUNBAATLHOUNBA
this game15.013.914.5134.0128.3113.9
season14.214.2115.7113.2
opponent14.614.3112.2118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.016.513.515.115.0
HOU14.411.616.013.713.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Saddiq Bey65650.65-0.150.800.2414-72115.614.01.6413.714.2-0.51
Trae Young75750.63-0.130.770.3111-41515.613.42.1313.814.1-0.30
Onyeka Okongwu70670.61-0.110.720.2612-51714.715.9-1.1813.814.1-0.33
Bogdan Bogdanovic61600.52-0.020.540.1114-72114.515.8-1.3214.812.52.24
Garrison Mathews36350.50-0.000.500.0316-92514.115.6-1.4915.013.31.70
Dejounte Murray74740.010.49-0.480.25-815-2315.214.70.5213.215.9-2.65
Wesley Matthews1818-0.020.52-0.53-0.0725-311.315.9-4.5214.713.70.94
Clint Capela4243-0.180.68-0.870.08-916-2515.714.61.1214.113.70.34
De'Andre Hunter5958-0.230.73-0.950.27-1724-4115.814.01.7613.214.9-1.67

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jae'Sean Tate3838-0.07-0.430.37-0.070-7715.113.21.8714.715.3-0.62
Jeff Green2525-0.18-0.320.150.12-103-1313.913.90.0315.315.00.32
Aaron Holiday5554-0.24-0.260.03-0.240-7713.414.5-1.1615.414.60.80
Fred VanVleet9293-0.25-0.250.00-0.19-2-5313.618.1-4.5715.015.4-0.42
Amen Thompson1817-0.26-0.24-0.020.04-103-1316.413.33.1112.915.5-2.53
Dillon Brooks6164-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.321-8912.416.3-3.8815.913.52.45
Jabari Smith Jr.8787-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.341-8913.814.8-1.0615.015.5-0.48
Alperen Sengun5455-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.16-81-914.812.82.0614.615.6-1.02
Jalen Green6567-0.530.03-0.55-0.32-70-714.213.30.8815.115.00.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.06,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 107, TOR 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,093.2%
PHX 95, ATL 820.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,092.5%
ORL 113, NJN 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.11,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,092.4%