NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	107		Excitement	5.6 [754]		MVP	Gerald Green (HOU): +32.3%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	1.4 [529]		LVP	Jeremy Lin (TOR): -16.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.17	0.15	0.00	8	90%	0.32	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	81%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.01	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	9	72%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	0.01	0.10	30	51%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	53%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Chris Paul	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	10	22%	-0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	12	61%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.08	22	53%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.21	0.00	-0.06	16	25%	-0.07	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	5	20%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	27.3	15.5	29.2	2.8	29.3	131.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.8%

HOU +10.2%

HOU +1.6%

HOU +6.3%

HOU +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	14.3	115.1	102.2	109.3
season	14.8	14.3		114.0	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.4		105.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.7	12.8	18.3	15.3	15.2
TOR	14.7	16.5	14.5	17.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	41	40	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.01	23	-11	34	14.1	16.0	-1.89	16.3	15.4	0.90
Austin Rivers	51	51	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-5	22	14.3	16.3	-2.02	15.4	16.2	-0.74
Nene	30	30	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-4	20	12.6	16.4	-3.84	14.7	16.3	-1.62
Chris Paul	62	63	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-1	14	14.4	16.8	-2.45	15.5	16.3	-0.84
Gary Clark	24	23	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	-5	22	12.8	16.0	-3.25	15.9	15.7	0.20
Eric Gordon	60	61	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.24	-2	14	-16	15.3	15.0	0.36	15.7	15.8	-0.07
Clint Capela	63	63	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	16	-20	16.4	12.6	3.84	16.3	14.7	1.62
PJ Tucker	66	66	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.19	-10	22	-32	16.5	12.1	4.36	16.0	15.2	0.81
James Harden	68	68	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.13	-10	22	-32	16.8	10.9	5.86	15.7	15.9	-0.21

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	57	59	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.23	19	-31	50	15.4	16.3	-0.93	17.2	11.7	5.51
Serge Ibaka	57	56	0.32	-0.82	1.15	-0.21	18	-30	48	15.3	16.4	-1.11	16.9	12.6	4.29
Kawhi Leonard	66	66	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.19	10	-22	32	16.0	15.2	0.81	16.5	12.1	4.36
Pascal Siakam	74	74	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-23	34	15.2	18.1	-2.94	15.9	12.6	3.30
Kyle Lowry	79	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-7	2	16.1	13.9	2.16	15.7	12.6	3.10
Norman Powell	21	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	4	-20	15.4	15.9	-0.43	12.6	16.0	-3.36
Patrick McCaw	21	20	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	3	-18	17.3	15.3	2.03	11.6	16.2	-4.53
Jeremy Lin	25	24	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.05	-22	10	-32	15.2	16.0	-0.72	11.7	16.4	-4.71
OG Anunoby	29	28	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	0.09	-30	18	-48	16.1	15.6	0.54	12.4	16.4	-3.97
Marc Gasol	36	37	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	0.06	-30	18	-48	16.4	15.3	1.11	12.6	16.9	-4.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 95, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.1%
MIL 107, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0	91.9%
ATL 97, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	91.4%