NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	5.7 [671]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (PHX): +6.0%
Atlanta Hawks	82		Comeback	1.5 [726]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -14.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	7	88%	0.15	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.03	-0.02	16	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Elliot Perry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	17	47%	-0.04	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.05	-0.00	13	42%	-0.01	3	-0.05	7	43%	-0.05
Tony Delk	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	60%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	0.02	5	81%	0.06	6	-0.12	6	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	15	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	20	52%	0.06	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	7	28%	-0.10	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	1.7	27.3	15.4	23.5	2.5	33.4	124.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.2%

ATL -7.2%

ATL -2.8%

PHX +22.4%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	15.5	95.0	81.2	100.9
season	14.9	15.4		97.7	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		101.6	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	12.2	16.7	12.0	13.9
ATL	15.2	14.0	16.0	14.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	77	77	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.09	20	-7	27	13.3	16.0	-2.67	14.7	14.8	-0.05
Rodney Rogers	62	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	2	9	13.8	14.0	-0.20	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Mario Elie	67	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	3	7	14.5	12.7	1.84	15.2	13.8	1.39
Clifford Robinson	86	87	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	6	1	14.0	13.3	0.71	15.0	12.9	2.12
Jason Kidd	78	81	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	5	3	14.1	13.2	0.92	15.2	13.0	2.12
Elliot Perry	22	20	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	8	-3	13.2	14.1	-0.92	13.0	15.2	-2.12
Tony Delk	33	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	10	-7	12.7	14.5	-1.84	13.8	15.2	-1.39
Jake Tsakalidis	52	53	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.10	6	7	-1	14.6	13.2	1.41	16.1	13.3	2.78
Daniel Santiago	23	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	18	-23	14.3	13.8	0.47	11.5	15.6	-4.10

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	21	21	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.17	10	-23	33	10.1	16.0	-5.88	13.6	14.0	-0.36
Cal Bowdler	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	9.4	15.0	-5.63	15.0	13.8	1.17
Hanno Mottola	23	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-16	19	11.8	15.6	-3.79	12.1	14.5	-2.34
Lorenzen Wright	65	64	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.14	-7	-6	-1	14.9	14.5	0.39	14.7	12.5	2.23
Tony Smith	25	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-6	-1	15.2	14.6	0.65	12.7	14.3	-1.63
DerMarr Johnson	73	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-3	-7	14.8	14.7	0.05	14.3	12.9	1.40
Chris Crawford	63	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-4	-5	15.7	13.2	2.56	14.5	12.8	1.75
Dikembe Mutombo	69	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-8	3	15.6	13.0	2.57	14.3	13.2	1.12
Jason Terry	88	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-3	-7	14.6	15.7	-1.08	14.2	12.2	2.01
Roshown McLeod	33	30	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	0	-13	15.8	14.2	1.63	12.1	14.7	-2.57
Alan Henderson	40	39	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.03	-19	6	-25	15.5	14.3	1.20	12.9	14.6	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 117, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%
POR 91, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.26,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.04,0,0,0	92.6%
SEA 103, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	92.6%