NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	113		Excitement	5.4 [727]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +24.7%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	1.5 [269]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -13.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.08	-0.02	27	69%	0.32	4	-0.07	13	85%	0.03
Pat Garrity	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.05	0.10	-0.03	10	70%	0.25	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	6	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jeryl Sasser	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.01	3	-0.06	11	64%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	14	67%	0.14	1	-0.01	12	75%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	12	46%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	12	48%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	15	39%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	10	36%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	0.04	25	47%	-0.07	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.5	33.0	16.7	27.6	2.8	27.3	133.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +63.1%

ORL +8.6%

NJN -10.4%

NJN -13.4%

ORL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	15.5	113.0	101.9	101.6
season	14.6	15.0		102.7	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		96.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.8	12.6	14.9	16.4	14.4
NJN	13.9	14.5	14.5	12.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	69	72	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.12	20	-12	32	14.4	14.5	-0.14	14.7	12.2	2.57
Tracy McGrady	94	97	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	1	6	14.6	12.3	2.22	13.9	14.2	-0.22
Darrell Armstrong	52	52	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	1	6	15.3	13.4	1.93	13.6	14.4	-0.78
Pat Garrity	70	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-1	10	14.6	14.0	0.55	13.4	15.2	-1.73
Gordan Giricek	86	87	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	8	-8	14.7	12.7	1.98	13.8	15.0	-1.23
Jacque Vaughn	54	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	8	-8	13.8	15.1	-1.32	13.9	14.1	-0.23
Andrew DeClercq	31	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	5	-2	13.6	14.8	-1.12	15.7	13.2	2.51
Jeryl Sasser	6	6	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	7	-6	12.3	14.6	-2.22	14.2	13.9	0.22
Shawn Kemp	38	41	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	15	-22	13.8	14.8	-1.02	13.2	14.5	-1.27

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	36	34	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.07	10	-18	28	15.0	13.4	1.64	13.3	15.0	-1.75
Kerry Kittles	62	60	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.26	12	-20	32	13.9	14.1	-0.27	14.5	14.3	0.24
Anthony Johnson	10	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-6	4	14.1	13.9	0.15	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Kenyon Martin	79	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-5	2	14.4	12.5	1.91	13.9	15.9	-1.97
Rodney Rogers	7	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-2	-4	14.6	13.9	0.65	12.2	14.6	-2.40
Brian Scalabrine	19	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-2	-4	13.7	14.0	-0.34	15.0	14.3	0.79
Jason Kidd	94	90	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	13.8	15.7	-1.87	14.5	13.7	0.80
Richard Jefferson	78	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	5	-18	14.1	13.6	0.53	14.5	14.0	0.55
Lucious Harris	64	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.31	-8	0	-8	13.4	14.9	-1.55	14.8	13.9	0.90
Aaron Williams	66	65	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.20	-18	10	-28	13.6	14.6	-1.03	15.0	13.4	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.11,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, BOS 75	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.2%
ORL 97, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%
LAL 104, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.5%