NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	97		Excitement	5.6 [692]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +14.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	86		Comeback	1.3 [963]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -19.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.01	11	73%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.06	0.04	10	71%	0.19	4	-0.09	15	73%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	7	56%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.01	11	68%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.18	-0.03	-0.05	6	0%	-0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	12	72%	0.18	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	59%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	19	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.06	0.03	22	36%	-0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	26.9	15.7	28.3	2.5	34.5	132.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +40.6%

ORL +17.3%

LAC -1.3%

LAC -1.7%

LAC -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	15.3	106.6	93.5	106.0
season	15.4	15.5		110.1	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.9		108.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.8	13.8	18.6	16.4	15.7
LAC	15.2	13.9	16.5	17.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	80	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	3	5	16.0	13.7	2.30	15.9	14.6	1.24
Matt Barnes	46	47	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	2	7	16.7	14.8	1.96	16.0	15.5	0.51
Vince Carter	52	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	0	11	14.7	17.1	-2.42	16.0	15.4	0.55
Anthony Johnson	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	9	-7	16.0	15.6	0.37	15.5	15.9	-0.43
Rashard Lewis	71	72	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	7	-3	16.0	14.7	1.28	16.3	13.8	2.46
Jason Williams	50	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	2	7	15.6	16.0	-0.37	15.9	15.5	0.43
Mickael Pietrus	51	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	5	1	16.0	15.4	0.66	15.9	15.5	0.38
Ryan Anderson	26	26	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	7	-3	14.8	16.1	-1.37	14.3	16.3	-1.98
JJ Redick	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	12	-13	15.7	15.7	-0.01	14.5	16.3	-1.77
Marcin Gortat	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	8	-5	13.7	16.0	-2.30	14.6	15.9	-1.24

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	5	5	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-13	15	12.2	15.9	-3.73	16.4	15.7	0.69
Steve Novak	3	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-9	7	18.0	15.7	2.35	10.0	15.9	-5.94
Craig Smith	10	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-6	1	12.0	16.2	-4.18	13.2	16.0	-2.80
Baron Davis	69	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-11	11	16.1	14.5	1.67	16.0	14.9	1.17
Chris Kaman	71	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-10	9	15.3	17.2	-1.89	15.2	17.7	-2.45
Marcus Camby	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-8	5	16.1	14.7	1.32	16.1	14.8	1.29
DeAndre Jordan	19	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-1	-9	15.2	15.9	-0.72	18.1	15.2	2.88
Eric Gordon	69	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	1	-13	16.3	14.0	2.25	15.3	16.9	-1.62
Sebastian Telfair	23	23	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	0	-11	14.5	16.1	-1.67	14.9	16.0	-1.17
Rasual Butler	52	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-8	5	14.8	16.9	-2.07	15.9	15.5	0.37
Al Thornton	70	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	16.8	12.3	4.48	16.2	14.2	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, BOS 75	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.3%
DAL 95, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0	93.3%
CHH 92, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	93.3%