inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 95 Excitement5.3 [789] MVPJosh Howard (DAL): +14.9%
Detroit Pistons 88 Comeback1.1 [582] LVPJason Terry (DAL): -8.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Howard0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.080.080.011375%0.203-0.06683%0.01
Keith Van Horn0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.070.07-0.01881%0.202-0.05560%-0.02
Devin Harris0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.020.07-0.02470%0.121-0.012100%0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.011461%0.0700.008100%0.06
Alan Henderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Michael Finley-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.021343%-0.011-0.022100%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.01-0.00930%-0.0800.0020%-0.03
Jason Terry-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.021025%-0.042-0.0400%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.100.050.011570%0.212-0.067100%0.05
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.031542%0.031-0.031100%0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.042052%-0.011-0.02475%0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.0110%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.010.041547%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.00140%-0.031-0.0430%-0.08
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011045%0.003-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.526.417.431.12.530.4134.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +31.2%
DAL +7.7%
DET -9.2%
DAL +14.7%
DAL +5.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDETNBADALDETNBA
this game17.617.315.5115.9106.0104.0
season14.916.7108.2103.5
opponent15.915.598.9103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.617.616.221.117.6
DET20.417.615.815.717.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Van Horn44450.58-0.080.660.2013-61918.316.81.5116.218.7-2.53
Josh Howard79790.450.050.410.3443117.713.34.4017.121.7-4.64
Marquis Daniels26270.330.170.160.1270716.318.1-1.8016.117.9-1.87
Devin Harris33350.290.210.080.1452315.618.9-3.3417.817.00.75
Dirk Nowitzki62620.270.230.040.2416-517.916.41.4917.616.61.03
Michael Finley60610.220.28-0.060.1334-117.717.10.6018.015.52.56
Jason Terry49480.210.29-0.080.1525-318.915.63.3417.017.8-0.75
Shawn Bradley39400.190.31-0.110.0261516.218.9-2.7118.915.93.02
Alan Henderson1818-0.050.55-0.600.13-613-1918.217.40.8316.417.6-1.14

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Delfino1112-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-91114.617.7-3.1119.617.22.35
Lindsey Hunter87-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-3-121.916.95.0217.917.50.31
Rasheed Wallace6767-0.21-0.290.08-0.241-8917.417.10.3417.517.8-0.28
Richard Hamilton7070-0.25-0.250.01-0.281-8916.720.5-3.8017.120.2-3.14
Antonio McDyess2019-0.26-0.24-0.010.01-92-1118.916.82.0618.917.21.79
Darvin Ham1413-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.09-6-1-514.717.9-3.1614.118.2-4.15
Ben Wallace6565-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.270-7717.417.30.0817.916.21.69
Chauncey Billups6565-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.270-7717.417.30.0818.314.93.39
Carlos Arroyo2322-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.06-114-1517.517.30.2616.917.8-0.97
Tayshaun Prince7270-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.21-92-1117.714.63.1117.219.6-2.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 90, MIN 830.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,094.3%
WAS 114, ATL 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.07,0,0,0,0,094.3%
DAL 106, BOS 980.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,094.2%