NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	5.2 [804]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (WAS): +20.5%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.0 [712]		LVP	Nene (WAS): -8.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.06	0.02	12	79%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.05	-0.03	10	65%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	8	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.04	0.02	19	52%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	16	54%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	1	100%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	9	42%	0.04	5	-0.12	6	67%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.03	11	69%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.03	5	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	9	52%	0.06	3	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	18	48%	0.10	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	16	47%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.7	30.1	15.8	25.2	2.5	26.2	122.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +58.2%

ATL -16.7%

ATL -11.2%

WAS +19.1%

WAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.1	118.8	101.0	105.2
season	15.1	14.8		103.8	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.7	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.7	15.8	13.8	17.4	15.1
ATL	16.9	13.5	13.9	15.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	44	46	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	1	15	15.5	14.8	0.73	14.2	15.5	-1.39
Trevor Booker	50	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	6	5	14.3	16.0	-1.76	14.8	15.0	-0.24
Trevor Ariza	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	-3	23	14.6	16.7	-2.08	15.0	14.4	0.64
Marcin Gortat	55	57	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.17	17	0	17	15.0	15.3	-0.38	15.3	14.2	1.13
Garrett Temple	29	30	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	17	-17	16.0	14.7	1.25	12.9	15.8	-2.92
John Wall	70	68	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.20	13	4	9	14.7	16.2	-1.52	15.5	13.4	2.04
Bradley Beal	70	70	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	13	-9	15.2	14.9	0.33	15.7	12.7	2.99
Kevin Seraphin	23	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	18	-19	17.2	14.5	2.75	12.6	15.6	-3.06
Nene	63	60	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.10	7	10	-3	14.9	15.5	-0.55	15.4	13.9	1.53
Otto Porter	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	30.0	15.0	15.03	0.0	15.0	-15.03
Jan Vesely	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	30.0	15.0	15.03	0.0	14.9	-14.87

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cartier Martin	48	48	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-19	21	14.9	14.9	0.00	15.9	14.4	1.50
Dennis Schroder	20	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-16	15	14.4	15.0	-0.54	19.4	14.0	5.40
Elton Brand	72	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-13	9	15.6	12.6	3.00	13.9	18.9	-5.06
Jeff Teague	63	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-12	7	15.4	13.8	1.66	13.3	18.7	-5.44
Mike Scott	38	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-9	1	12.5	16.4	-3.93	17.3	13.6	3.68
Shelvin Mack	31	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.10	-14	-3	-11	13.0	15.8	-2.82	18.4	13.6	4.87
Kyle Korver	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	0	-17	15.3	13.6	1.78	13.7	19.0	-5.26
Paul Millsap	77	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.10	-21	4	-25	15.6	11.9	3.72	14.4	17.8	-3.44
Louis Williams	60	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	0	-17	14.5	15.5	-0.96	16.0	13.6	2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.07,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.3%
CHI 111, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.03,0,0	94.2%
UTA 90, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0	93.6%