NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	83		Excitement	5.4 [725]		MVP	Hassan Whiteside (MIA): +25.0%
Boston Celtics	75		Comeback	1.0 [549]		LVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): -17.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.09	0.16	-0.00	17	59%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Ennis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	19	40%	-0.00	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.05	4	33%	0.00	5	-0.12	4	50%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	15	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	13	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03
Evan Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	0.00	11	29%	-0.09	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	26.1	15.4	26.5	2.4	35.3	131.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +39.2%

MIA +10.8%

MIA +6.0%

BOS -7.6%

MIA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BOS	NBA	MIA	BOS	NBA
this game	17.4	13.6	15.1	90.2	79.8	104.2
season	16.0	14.3		102.4	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		103.3	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.6	16.1	20.8	15.8	17.4
BOS	15.3	12.7	14.5	12.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norris Cole	48	48	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-2	12	15.8	19.1	-3.30	13.5	13.8	-0.24
James Ennis	49	49	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	1	6	16.6	18.3	-1.75	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Tyler Johnson	55	56	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	0	8	15.8	19.8	-3.99	13.3	14.1	-0.83
Hassan Whiteside	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	1	6	16.7	18.5	-1.78	13.1	14.6	-1.44
Chris Bosh	68	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	0	8	17.1	18.2	-1.19	13.9	13.0	0.82
Udonis Haslem	9	8	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	9	-10	16.4	17.5	-1.03	13.6	13.6	-0.01
Chris Andersen	32	33	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.02	1	7	-6	18.5	16.7	1.78	14.6	13.1	1.44
Shabazz Napier	37	38	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	19.8	15.8	3.99	14.1	13.3	0.83
Shawne Williams	15	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	7	-6	19.3	17.0	2.35	12.8	13.8	-1.07
Danny Granger	38	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	9	-10	19.7	15.8	3.90	15.1	12.6	2.50
Mario Chalmers	49	51	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	8	-8	18.0	16.7	1.26	12.9	14.5	-1.52

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	61	59	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-14	20	13.0	14.7	-1.68	16.9	18.2	-1.27
Brandon Bass	73	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-12	16	13.4	14.4	-1.02	17.7	16.1	1.65
Avery Bradley	65	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-12	16	12.8	15.4	-2.57	17.7	16.7	0.94
Gerald Wallace	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-6	4	12.8	13.8	-1.00	15.5	17.7	-2.27
James Young	22	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-3	-2	11.0	14.4	-3.39	13.8	18.4	-4.61
Jae Crowder	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-10	12	13.2	14.2	-1.01	18.1	16.4	1.70
Phil Pressey	14	14	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	0	-8	14.6	13.5	1.18	19.2	17.0	2.18
Marcus Thornton	32	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	2	-12	15.2	12.8	2.35	16.9	17.6	-0.66
Evan Turner	37	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	5	-18	15.5	12.4	3.05	17.3	17.4	-0.18
Tyler Zeller	61	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	14.6	11.9	2.71	18.0	16.3	1.66
Jared Sullinger	34	35	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	5	-18	13.9	13.5	0.34	17.5	17.3	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
IND 118, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
WAS 94, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%