NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	5.3 [743]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +14.2%
Miami Heat	84		Comeback	1.1 [308]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -13.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.01	20	57%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Earl Boykins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	9	44%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	43%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Nick Young	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	23	44%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Caron Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	15	59%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	15	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	7	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	13	50%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	19	40%	-0.04	4	-0.10	7	71%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	3.6	30.4	19.4	25.2	3.8	34.6	141.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.7%

MIA -5.1%

WAS +12.8%

WAS +8.0%

MIA -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.3	104.4	94.4	106.0
season	15.7	16.2		102.6	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.3		102.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.3	15.9	15.8	17.7	15.9
MIA	16.3	19.4	16.2	13.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	38	38	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-4	18	16.3	15.7	0.61	16.1	16.4	-0.24
Andray Blatche	36	33	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.16	14	-4	18	15.9	15.9	0.06	15.9	16.5	-0.52
Brendan Haywood	57	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-3	16	15.4	16.7	-1.29	16.0	16.8	-0.80
Antawn Jamison	77	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	1	8	15.9	15.8	0.17	16.7	12.5	4.25
Nick Young	71	70	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	7	-4	16.0	15.6	0.35	16.1	16.8	-0.73
Randy Foye	19	19	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	3	4	15.6	16.0	-0.35	16.8	16.1	0.73
Caron Butler	73	71	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.11	-2	12	-14	16.0	15.5	0.54	15.2	20.3	-5.09
JaVale McGee	27	25	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	14	-18	16.5	15.7	0.87	18.8	15.3	3.46
Gilbert Arenas	52	51	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	14	-18	15.7	16.3	-0.61	16.4	16.1	0.24

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	67	69	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.18	8	-18	26	15.5	18.7	-3.26	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Joel Anthony	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-9	8	21.5	15.9	5.61	17.1	15.8	1.34
Dwyane Wade	73	74	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-12	14	15.1	21.7	-6.68	15.9	15.9	0.04
Mario Chalmers	76	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-11	12	15.3	21.8	-6.44	15.6	17.9	-2.35
Daequan Cook	18	19	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	19.9	15.3	4.61	15.7	16.0	-0.22
Carlos Arroyo	11	10	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	4	-18	24.7	15.1	9.65	18.8	15.5	3.25
Jermaine O'Neal	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	0	-10	16.8	13.4	3.46	15.7	16.7	-1.02
Michael Beasley	70	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	3	-16	16.2	16.6	-0.39	16.0	15.7	0.26
Udonis Haslem	49	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.16	-14	4	-18	16.0	16.6	-0.55	16.1	15.7	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, BOS 75	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.0%
ATL 110, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.4%
ATL 97, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%