NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	6.3 [607]		MVP	Gary Harris (DEN): +14.0%
Denver Nuggets	97		Comeback	1.4 [206]		LVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): -32.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	4	80%	0.10	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	7	87%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Delaney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	8	56%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	60%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.02	0.07	3	112%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyler Cavanaugh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyler Dorsey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	13	62%	0.09	7	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Harris	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.00	0.03	14	83%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	69%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.04
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.06	2	17%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	17	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	8	46%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	13	48%	-0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	-0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.23	-0.09	-0.00	21	20%	-0.26	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	22.6	15.4	31.9	0.7	33.3	131.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +72.9%

ATL +4.0%

DEN -11.5%

DEN -12.6%

DEN -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DEN	NBA	ATL	DEN	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.7	114.6	101.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.7		104.2	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.4		109.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	15.0	14.1	14.2	14.5
DEN	15.9	15.6	15.9	14.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Delaney	40	41	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-3	19	14.1	14.8	-0.73	16.5	14.8	1.68
Dewayne Dedmon	35	36	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-3	19	14.8	14.3	0.52	15.7	15.3	0.40
Tyler Dorsey	20	20	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	2	9	13.0	14.9	-1.89	19.6	14.4	5.24
Taurean Prince	72	73	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.04	13	0	13	14.7	13.9	0.83	14.6	18.3	-3.69
Ersan Ilyasova	56	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	14	-15	15.4	13.2	2.23	16.0	14.8	1.20
Mike Muscala	32	32	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	5	3	13.3	15.1	-1.83	14.7	15.9	-1.13
Dennis Schroder	65	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	9	-5	15.0	13.5	1.50	14.8	17.0	-2.26
Kent Bazemore	56	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	15	-17	14.4	14.7	-0.34	15.7	15.3	0.36
Miles Plumlee	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	11	-9	14.3	14.6	-0.28	16.0	15.2	0.75
John Collins	37	36	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	12	-11	14.0	14.8	-0.81	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Tyler Cavanaugh	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	10.0	14.5	-4.55	0.0	15.5	-15.50
Isaiah Taylor	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	10.0	14.5	-4.55	0.0	15.5	-15.50
Marco Belinelli	33	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	16	-19	15.0	14.2	0.81	14.9	15.8	-0.87

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Faried	15	14	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-15	17	15.1	15.6	-0.43	15.4	14.4	1.00
Richard Jefferson	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	0.0	15.5	-15.50	10.0	14.5	-4.55
Mason Plumlee	47	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-12	11	14.1	16.9	-2.77	15.3	13.8	1.44
Malik Beasley	5	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-11	9	19.2	15.3	3.90	13.4	14.6	-1.16
Torrey Craig	20	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-7	1	14.2	15.8	-1.64	12.2	15.2	-2.95
Wilson Chandler	53	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-11	9	16.2	14.6	1.66	14.9	14.0	0.86
Jamal Murray	78	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-7	1	15.2	16.8	-1.57	14.9	12.8	2.15
Gary Harris	73	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-7	1	15.4	15.9	-0.54	14.7	13.8	0.89
Nikola Jokic	62	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	1	-15	16.2	14.2	2.00	13.9	15.6	-1.69
Trey Lyles	59	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	1	-15	16.2	14.5	1.69	14.3	14.8	-0.42
Will Barton	68	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	3	-19	15.4	15.9	-0.50	14.3	14.9	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 94, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.01,0	94.4%
SAS 106, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
MIN 105, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%