NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	5.8 [629]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +13.2%
Toronto Raptors	84		Comeback	1.3 [872]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -16.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.01	27	57%	0.20	3	-0.06	11	73%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.06	-0.04	14	59%	0.15	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Aaron McKie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.05	0.01	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	8	45%	-0.04	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	21	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Greg Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	9	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	13	43%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	18	42%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	15	42%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	28.4	17.6	23.4	2.4	37.3	134.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +58.0%

PHI +3.4%

TOR -3.1%

TOR -6.5%

TOR -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.6	17.7	15.5	109.3	96.6	101.6
season	15.3	16.2		102.1	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	15.9	17.0	14.5	15.6
TOR	17.5	17.6	16.5	19.1	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	66	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-2	14	15.5	16.0	-0.52	17.7	17.7	0.02
Aaron McKie	43	44	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	1	8	16.0	15.3	0.70	18.7	16.7	1.98
Allen Iverson	80	80	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	3	4	15.7	14.5	1.19	17.2	22.6	-5.32
Derrick Coleman	32	32	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	5	0	15.4	15.7	-0.32	18.9	17.0	1.94
Greg Buckner	39	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	2	6	14.7	16.4	-1.72	17.7	17.7	0.04
Eric Snow	71	72	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	5	0	15.4	16.5	-1.12	17.5	18.6	-1.11
Todd MacCulloch	49	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	9	-8	16.8	14.1	2.67	17.6	17.8	-0.14
Brian Skinner	20	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	12	-14	16.0	15.5	0.52	17.7	17.7	-0.02
John Salmons	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	13	-16	14.1	15.8	-1.63	14.0	18.1	-4.05

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jelani McCoy	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-8	6	17.4	17.7	-0.26	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Jerome Williams	71	69	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-12	14	16.7	21.9	-5.22	15.5	16.1	-0.64
Chris Jefferies	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-6	2	20.7	17.3	3.33	15.9	15.6	0.32
Antonio Davis	72	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-11	12	17.3	19.4	-2.08	15.7	14.9	0.80
Alvin Williams	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-7	4	17.6	18.0	-0.38	15.7	15.3	0.45
Jermaine Jackson	37	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-6	2	17.6	17.7	-0.15	14.9	16.1	-1.28
Greg Foster	6	5	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	22.3	17.3	5.00	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Morris Peterson	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	17.3	20.7	-3.33	15.6	15.9	-0.32
Michael Bradley	16	17	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	2	-14	21.9	16.7	5.22	16.1	15.5	0.64
Voshon Lenard	73	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	3	-16	17.8	17.0	0.81	15.9	14.2	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 110, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
HOU 92, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,0	93.8%
PHI 104, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.16,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	93.4%