NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	104		Excitement	5.6 [710]		MVP	Andre Miller (PHI): +11.1%
Atlanta Hawks	89		Comeback	1.1 [535]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): -18.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	14	61%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Steven Hunter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	16	53%	0.11	2	-0.08	13	77%	-0.00
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Willie Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	11	76%	0.15	7	-0.18	3	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	11	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	12	56%	0.08	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.04
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Solomon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	20	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	16	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	7	39%	-0.07	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	1.8	25.2	16.5	28.4	2.4	30.5	136.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +63.9%

ATL -4.6%

PHI +0.5%

ATL -8.6%

ATL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.4	113.0	97.8	104.5
season	15.5	16.1		101.7	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.7		106.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	14.6	15.5	14.9	15.1
ATL	17.3	15.4	16.5	16.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	75	76	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.10	23	-8	31	14.9	15.9	-0.95	17.0	13.3	3.64
Andre Miller	68	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.02	21	-6	27	15.6	13.7	1.95	17.4	13.8	3.60
Samuel Dalembert	72	71	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.03	19	-4	23	15.2	14.8	0.39	16.8	15.0	1.76
Kyle Korver	63	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	0	15	14.8	15.8	-0.95	15.9	17.6	-1.73
Joe Smith	49	49	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	8	-1	14.5	15.8	-1.32	15.3	17.6	-2.36
Steven Hunter	62	60	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	12	-9	15.4	14.5	0.85	16.8	15.6	1.20
Rodney Carney	25	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.16	8	7	1	16.1	14.7	1.39	19.0	15.4	3.57
Bobby Jones	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	22.0	15.0	6.97	17.0	16.4	0.64
Lou Williams	24	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	21	-27	13.7	15.6	-1.95	13.8	17.4	-3.60
Willie Green	21	18	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.10	-16	31	-47	15.4	15.0	0.41	12.2	17.4	-5.24

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salim Stoudamire	5	5	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-19	23	11.8	16.6	-4.84	13.0	15.2	-2.23
Solomon Jones	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-12	9	22.0	16.3	5.69	22.0	15.0	6.97
Josh Childress	67	66	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-14	13	15.1	20.0	-4.93	15.6	13.9	1.71
Shelden Williams	39	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-15	15	15.3	17.2	-1.96	15.3	14.9	0.39
Royal Ivey	10	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-9	3	17.7	16.2	1.49	16.7	14.9	1.73
Lorenzen Wright	34	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-11	7	17.5	15.7	1.75	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Tyronn Lue	38	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-9	3	17.5	15.6	1.89	14.8	15.3	-0.54
Zaza Pachulia	50	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-9	3	15.6	17.4	-1.81	15.0	15.2	-0.20
Josh Smith	80	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	1	-17	16.5	15.5	0.94	14.4	19.7	-5.24
Marvin Williams	66	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.04	-16	1	-17	16.9	15.0	1.95	15.5	14.0	1.42
Joe Johnson	65	67	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.08	-21	6	-27	17.2	14.4	2.78	15.1	15.0	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.16,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.5%
PHI 94, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.01,0	93.4%
MIN 97, POR 78	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.2%