NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	92		Excitement	5.5 [434]		MVP	Don Reid (DET): +9.8%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	1.1 [343]		LVP	Loy Vaught (DET): -18.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuck Person	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,0,0	-0.08	0.06	-0.01	17	54%	0.06	3	-0.06	16	44%	-0.10
Eldridge Recasner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Shackleford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Bobby Phills	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Brad Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don Reid	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.04	0.07	13	76%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bison Dele	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	5	58%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	12	47%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	18	39%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	13	19%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	10	10%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	29.3	15.5	21.6	2.4	40.6	133.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +61.9%

DET -1.2%

DET -7.8%

DET -4.6%

CHH +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	DET	NBA	CHH	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	16.2	15.8	98.9	93.5	99.6
season	15.7	16.6		99.2	101.4
opponent	16.1	15.5		97.9	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.6	14.0	18.4	14.4	14.9
DET	16.4	16.0	17.6	15.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	66	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-4	14	15.1	14.5	0.60	16.1	16.4	-0.24
Elden Campbell	81	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	-2	10	14.7	16.4	-1.69	15.6	19.7	-4.07
Eddie Jones	85	84	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	0	6	15.0	14.1	0.90	15.7	21.5	-5.81
Chuck Person	39	38	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	1	4	15.0	14.9	0.14	18.0	14.9	3.03
David Wesley	83	81	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	6	-6	14.8	15.8	-0.96	15.2	23.5	-8.24
Eldridge Recasner	18	17	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	3	0	15.4	14.8	0.55	20.4	15.3	5.10
Chucky Brown	65	64	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	5	-4	14.4	16.3	-1.97	14.6	19.8	-5.21
Brad Miller	8	8	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	6	-6	14.1	15.0	-0.90	21.5	15.7	5.81
Charles Shackleford	12	13	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	8	-10	16.4	14.7	1.69	19.7	15.6	4.07
Ricky Davis	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	7	-8	18.0	14.7	3.34	22.1	15.6	6.49

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	15.9	16.3	-0.38	13.4	15.6	-2.22
Loy Vaught	32	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-6	6	17.0	15.7	1.28	16.2	14.3	1.92
Bison Dele	22	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	1	-8	16.7	16.0	0.64	16.0	14.6	1.46
Joe Dumars	54	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-4	2	16.1	16.3	-0.16	15.7	13.8	1.96
Eric Montross	16	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	2	-10	14.4	16.6	-2.20	11.7	15.6	-3.83
Lindsey Hunter	74	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-10	14	16.5	14.9	1.62	15.5	12.8	2.62
Don Reid	71	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-9	12	16.8	14.2	2.60	15.3	13.9	1.41
Grant Hill	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-4	2	15.4	20.2	-4.78	14.9	15.1	-0.22
Jud Buechler	46	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-4	2	15.2	17.2	-2.09	13.4	16.6	-3.29
Jerry Stackhouse	40	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	6	-18	17.3	15.3	2.00	14.9	15.0	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 114, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
LAL 93, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.02,0,0	94.7%
DAL 106, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	94.3%