NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	5.6 [712]		MVP	Brian Cook (LAL): +12.2%
Chicago Bulls	80		Comeback	1.0 [652]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -18.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	11	73%	0.20	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.02	0.04	11	79%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Laron Profit	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	10	59%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	21	47%	0.08	4	-0.09	7	71%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	16	59%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	14	44%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	17	67%	0.15	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Basden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	11	33%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	26.2	33.8	29.7	1.8	25.0	142.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.6%

CHI -7.6%

LAL +11.7%

LAL +5.1%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	18.0	14.3	15.6	104.5	89.9	104.4
season	15.6	14.4		106.2	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.5		102.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.4	18.5	15.9	20.6	18.0
CHI	16.9	12.8	14.1	13.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	47	46	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-3	19	19.2	16.8	2.43	14.4	14.2	0.20
Brian Cook	46	47	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	3	7	18.5	17.6	0.90	15.1	13.4	1.77
Devean George	18	17	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	3	7	18.4	17.9	0.50	16.4	13.8	2.59
Lamar Odom	63	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	-1	15	17.7	18.8	-1.02	14.2	14.7	-0.60
Kobe Bryant	71	71	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	4	5	17.2	21.2	-3.98	14.1	15.2	-1.14
Luke Walton	50	48	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.40	-8	21	-29	18.4	17.6	0.81	13.6	15.1	-1.45
Smush Parker	58	59	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.22	12	1	11	17.3	19.5	-2.16	14.2	14.5	-0.33
Chris Mihm	56	56	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.18	10	3	7	17.2	19.4	-2.19	14.4	14.2	0.16
Laron Profit	22	22	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	18	-23	21.1	17.0	4.11	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Andrew Bynum	14	14	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	16	-19	17.9	18.1	-0.14	13.8	14.4	-0.63

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	16	16	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-18	23	12.5	14.7	-2.21	20.0	17.6	2.38
Michael Sweetney	61	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-16	19	14.6	13.6	0.98	18.1	17.9	0.28
Chris Duhon	42	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-11	9	15.5	13.3	2.20	17.7	18.4	-0.67
Darius Songaila	15	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-3	-7	14.8	14.2	0.58	16.1	18.4	-2.38
Andres Nocioni	32	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-5	-3	15.0	13.9	1.12	17.6	18.3	-0.79
Eddie Basden	30	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-9	5	13.4	14.8	-1.43	20.6	16.8	3.80
Tyson Chandler	54	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	0	-13	14.4	14.2	0.24	17.5	18.9	-1.40
Jannero Pargo	53	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-2	-9	13.6	15.3	-1.71	18.8	16.9	1.94
Kirk Hinrich	81	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-3	-7	14.4	13.6	0.76	17.6	22.2	-4.62
Luol Deng	61	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	2	-17	14.1	14.8	-0.74	17.6	19.0	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 92, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	94.7%
MIA 90, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
TOR 110, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	93.8%