NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	5.4 [706]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +10.8%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	1.2 [745]		LVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): -17.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	13	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	11	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	12	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Igor Rakocevic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	16	54%	0.01	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Gary Trent	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	9	28%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.02	0.04	16	63%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jiri Welsch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.04	0.05	19	67%	0.10	3	-0.11	10	90%	0.02
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	5	56%	-0.03	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	13	34%	-0.09	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	13	37%	-0.14	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	4.6	32.0	18.7	28.2	2.6	30.1	138.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +35.1%

GSW -1.2%

GSW -2.9%

MIN +16.8%

MIN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	14.4	15.5	118.8	101.0	101.6
season	14.9	14.6		104.0	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.8		106.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	15.7	14.9	16.7	15.5
GSW	15.3	16.3	12.8	13.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	67	68	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.03	22	-6	28	15.8	14.8	0.93	14.2	14.7	-0.41
Anthony Peeler	55	55	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.08	18	-2	20	15.5	15.4	0.07	15.8	12.5	3.26
Rod Strickland	47	49	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	6	4	14.5	16.4	-1.94	15.9	12.8	3.13
Kevin Garnett	85	86	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	5	6	15.8	13.1	2.70	14.0	17.3	-3.27
Rasho Nesterovic	60	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	11	-6	14.7	16.8	-2.17	14.8	13.7	1.12
Kendall Gill	71	72	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	6	4	15.9	14.4	1.51	14.0	15.6	-1.60
Troy Hudson	49	48	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	10	-4	16.4	14.5	1.94	12.8	15.9	-3.13
Marc Jackson	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	15	-14	15.3	15.5	-0.23	17.2	14.0	3.17
Igor Rakocevic	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	17.0	15.4	1.55	2.7	14.7	-12.08
Reggie Slater	6	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	16	-16	14.8	15.5	-0.69	8.6	14.8	-6.25
Gary Trent	27	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	20	-24	14.6	15.8	-1.18	14.8	14.2	0.60

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jiri Welsch	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	8.3	15.2	-6.88	18.9	15.0	3.87
Oscar Torres	16	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-15	14	13.3	14.6	-1.27	17.4	15.2	2.20
Adonal Foyle	12	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	-6	-4	15.7	14.2	1.57	14.6	15.6	-0.95
Mike Dunleavy	34	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-10	4	14.9	14.1	0.88	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Erick Dampier	60	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-15	14	15.0	13.4	1.60	14.9	16.4	-1.55
Gilbert Arenas	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-10	4	14.2	14.8	-0.61	15.4	15.6	-0.17
Earl Boykins	32	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-4	-8	16.1	13.5	2.52	15.4	15.5	-0.16
Jason Richardson	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	-3	-10	13.7	17.1	-3.33	15.4	15.7	-0.28
Antawn Jamison	89	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-4	-8	14.6	12.1	2.45	15.5	14.7	0.87
Troy Murphy	80	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	2	-20	14.4	14.3	0.09	15.5	15.1	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 92, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	94.7%
CHI 91, SEA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.6%
SEA 103, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%