NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	4.8 [901]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +26.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Comeback	1.1 [558]		LVP	Ira Newble (CLE): -10.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.10	-0.04	12	79%	0.29	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.03	22	62%	0.10	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.04	15	56%	0.07	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Danny Fortson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	80%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	5	53%	0.02	1	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02
Robert Swift	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.02	-0.04	20	67%	0.21	4	-0.08	8	62%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	7	74%	0.12	4	-0.08	9	78%	0.03
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	14	55%	0.06	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	7	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	31.6	16.6	24.6	3.7	31.3	135.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +24.3%

SEA +8.1%

SEA +4.3%

SEA +14.4%

CLE -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CLE	NBA	SEA	CLE	NBA
this game	17.8	16.1	15.5	121.2	101.2	104.0
season	16.5	16.2		109.5	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.1	14.8	19.5	19.3	17.8
CLE	19.8	14.0	17.4	14.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	61	60	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.03	25	-8	33	16.7	20.4	-3.70	15.3	18.0	-2.67
Nick Collison	47	45	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.06	23	-6	29	15.6	20.4	-4.76	15.3	17.0	-1.76
Antonio Daniels	29	30	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-1	19	17.0	18.2	-1.21	15.2	16.6	-1.47
Danny Fortson	28	29	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	1	15	18.2	17.5	0.72	15.2	16.6	-1.33
Ray Allen	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	5	7	18.0	17.1	0.90	16.9	13.1	3.88
Luke Ridnour	64	63	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	18	-19	17.7	18.0	-0.25	16.2	16.0	0.22
Robert Swift	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	18.7	17.7	0.93	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Reggie Evans	32	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	19	-21	20.1	16.4	3.69	18.3	14.7	3.57
Rashard Lewis	67	67	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	17	-17	17.9	17.4	0.48	15.4	18.8	-3.37
Jerome James	27	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	23	-29	20.8	16.4	4.42	18.2	15.1	3.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	48	47	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-22	27	16.9	15.1	1.84	17.5	18.1	-0.66
Drew Gooden	41	42	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-15	13	17.6	14.8	2.79	18.7	16.9	1.78
Sasha Pavlovic	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	-10	3	14.2	16.4	-2.27	13.7	18.4	-4.67
DeSagana Diop	14	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-7	-3	18.0	15.7	2.25	13.7	18.7	-4.95
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	53	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-12	7	16.5	15.6	0.89	20.2	14.0	6.20
LeBron James	72	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-10	3	16.3	15.1	1.23	17.9	17.0	0.90
Eric Snow	42	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-6	-5	13.9	18.3	-4.47	17.7	17.8	-0.12
Jeff McInnis	67	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-7	-3	16.7	13.9	2.76	18.3	15.8	2.54
Jiri Welsch	41	42	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	2	-21	15.0	17.2	-2.25	17.3	18.3	-0.99
Robert Traylor	35	32	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	2	-21	15.3	16.7	-1.37	15.9	18.9	-3.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 122, NOP 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0	94.5%
MIN 114, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SAS 107, CLE 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.6,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%