NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	122		Excitement	5.5 [729]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +16.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	114		Comeback	1.2 [1143]		LVP	Langston Galloway (NOP): -11.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	19	60%	0.15	2	-0.03	12	100%	0.05
Stephen Curry	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	19	55%	0.20	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	7	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Patrick McCaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.04	0.04	21	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
David West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	10	36%	-0.03	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.20	0.03	0.07	31	59%	0.18	1	-0.02	14	71%	-0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.05	-0.04	18	57%	0.14	3	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.04	11	68%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.03	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	7	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.8	30.0	16.0	30.2	3.4	39.2	149.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +21.6%

GSW +17.9%

NOP -0.7%

GSW +9.9%

GSW +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOP	NBA	GSW	NOP	NBA
this game	12.9	13.3	14.8	110.9	103.6	107.7
season	13.5	14.1		114.9	104.1
opponent	15.0	15.1		106.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.4	13.7	14.3	12.4	12.9
NOP	13.0	14.0	14.0	12.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	70	67	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.14	16	-8	24	12.3	13.8	-1.52	14.3	11.8	2.48
Kevon Looney	13	14	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-5	18	14.0	12.7	1.30	16.8	12.8	3.96
Stephen Curry	79	80	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	4	0	12.7	13.3	-0.65	12.8	14.7	-1.89
Klay Thompson	90	90	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	4	0	12.9	12.8	0.01	13.3	13.3	-0.03
Kevin Durant	92	92	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	4	0	12.3	15.4	-3.10	13.2	14.0	-0.80
Ian Clark	12	13	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	5	-2	13.9	12.7	1.19	11.8	13.5	-1.68
Draymond Green	80	80	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	8	-8	12.7	13.3	-0.66	12.6	15.1	-2.48
Shaun Livingston	32	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	10	-12	15.0	12.0	3.07	13.5	13.2	0.29
David West	20	18	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	6	-4	13.3	12.7	0.61	14.2	13.2	1.07
Patrick McCaw	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	10	-12	12.7	12.9	-0.16	13.7	13.2	0.44
Zaza Pachulia	40	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	10	-12	13.1	12.7	0.39	12.9	13.6	-0.64

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	61	60	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-9	10	13.3	13.3	-0.04	13.1	12.5	0.65
Dante Cunningham	71	73	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-17	26	12.9	14.1	-1.12	13.5	11.6	1.94
Omer Asik	21	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-1	-6	12.5	13.5	-0.99	11.1	13.2	-2.08
Tim Frazier	79	82	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-9	10	13.0	14.1	-1.03	12.5	13.8	-1.30
Terrence Jones	27	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	0	-8	15.7	12.6	3.15	13.3	12.7	0.55
Solomon Hill	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-4	0	12.7	14.1	-1.40	11.9	13.9	-1.99
Anthony Davis	92	94	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-5	2	13.1	14.7	-1.60	12.7	13.6	-0.90
Langston Galloway	31	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	1	-10	14.1	13.0	1.03	13.8	12.5	1.30
Lance Stephenson	70	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.5	13.0	0.44	12.8	13.0	-0.23
Buddy Hield	39	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.20	-12	4	-16	14.2	12.9	1.32	13.6	12.4	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 103, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
SAS 107, CLE 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.6,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
CHA 123, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%