NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	110		Excitement	7.3 [382]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +28.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	116		Comeback	2.0 [876]		LVP	Shaedon Sharpe (POR): -15.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.17	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.22,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	17	59%	0.20	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	9	78%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jabari Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaree Bouyea	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	15	59%	0.07	7	-0.23	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.29,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.14	-0.02	20	58%	0.31	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.03
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.13	0.01	10	73%	0.27	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.02	10	78%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	58%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	14	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	26.7	14.7	28.0	2.5	31.4	131.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -10.3%

LAL +36.9%

LAL +1.8%

LAL +23.1%

POR -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	14.5	108.9	114.9	113.9
season	14.8	14.1		106.9	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.5		114.3	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.6	13.9	16.8	12.5	14.4
LAL	13.7	14.4	12.0	16.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duop Reath	27	29	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.15	12	-18	30	14.7	14.3	0.33	15.0	13.7	1.28
Jabari Walker	34	35	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.08	7	-13	20	15.9	13.7	2.20	14.9	13.6	1.31
Kris Murray	6	6	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-10	14	16.8	14.3	2.56	13.8	14.1	-0.27
Matisse Thybulle	45	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	0	-6	13.4	15.3	-1.93	13.8	14.3	-0.56
Jamaree Bouyea	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-3	0	15.2	14.1	1.08	12.8	14.6	-1.79
Skylar Mays	70	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-4	2	13.7	16.0	-2.22	14.8	12.6	2.25
Toumani Camara	47	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-6	6	14.7	14.2	0.44	14.4	13.8	0.58
Shaedon Sharpe	90	90	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	3	-12	14.6	13.3	1.29	13.5	18.7	-5.21
Jerami Grant	86	86	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.22	-15	9	-24	14.3	15.3	-0.99	14.2	13.6	0.57
Deandre Ayton	74	72	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.18	-18	12	-30	14.3	14.7	-0.33	13.7	15.0	-1.28

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	85	85	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.27	17	-11	28	13.8	15.5	-1.68	14.7	13.2	1.47
Rui Hachimura	69	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-11	28	14.0	14.2	-0.14	14.0	15.5	-1.53
Austin Reaves	60	59	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	3	0	13.8	14.5	-0.75	14.8	13.9	0.97
Cam Reddish	79	80	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-4	14	14.6	12.3	2.26	14.0	16.0	-1.93
Taurean Prince	69	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	5	-4	14.2	13.8	0.36	13.9	15.5	-1.57
Max Christie	27	25	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	7	-8	11.9	14.9	-3.05	16.8	13.6	3.21
D'Angelo Russell	68	69	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	1	4	14.6	13.1	1.44	14.2	15.0	-0.84
Christian Wood	32	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	17	-28	14.2	14.0	0.14	15.5	14.0	1.53
Jaxson Hayes	16	16	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	17	-28	15.5	13.8	1.68	13.2	14.7	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.76,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 109, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.97,0.99,1	92.6%
TOR 98, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.92,1	92.1%
ATL 92, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.73,0.76,0.63,0.94,0.96,1	91.5%