NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	6.9 [468]		MVP	Thon Maker (MIL): +10.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	97		Comeback	1.8 [922]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): -15.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	15	53%	0.17	2	-0.07	2	50%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	8	76%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
John Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	39%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.1,0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	15	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	16	56%	0.01	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	7	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	0.00	9	78%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.12	-0.00	16	44%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	15	57%	0.13	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	35%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	7	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	6	-0.19	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	22.8	14.7	24.3	1.8	30.4	121.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +35.2%

ATL -0.9%

MIL +9.8%

MIL +1.4%

MIL +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	14.7	101.1	105.4	107.5
season	14.6	14.3		104.2	108.5
opponent	15.4	14.4		108.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.1	15.4	15.9	15.9	16.3
MIL	13.2	15.2	16.8	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Taylor	26	27	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.11	8	-13	21	16.0	16.4	-0.41	16.7	14.5	2.20
DeAndre' Bembry	22	22	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-11	17	15.5	16.6	-1.15	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Mike Muscala	32	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-5	5	16.5	16.3	0.21	16.3	14.6	1.67
John Collins	42	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	0	-5	17.3	15.5	1.78	15.5	14.9	0.57
Malcolm Delaney	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	4	-13	17.5	15.8	1.74	14.4	15.5	-1.09
Dewayne Dedmon	53	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-4	3	16.3	16.4	-0.11	14.9	15.5	-0.51
Kent Bazemore	56	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-2	-1	15.9	17.0	-1.09	15.0	15.5	-0.52
Taurean Prince	57	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	15.6	17.5	-1.82	15.6	14.4	1.21
Tyler Dorsey	23	22	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	6	-17	18.2	15.7	2.53	14.9	15.2	-0.38
Ersan Ilyasova	54	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	15.6	17.4	-1.72	14.7	15.9	-1.18
Dennis Schroder	61	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	1	-7	16.4	16.1	0.34	14.5	16.4	-1.90

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thon Maker	49	49	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-8	21	14.1	16.4	-2.33	16.8	15.8	1.05
Eric Bledsoe	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-6	17	15.1	15.4	-0.31	17.1	14.5	2.56
Khris Middleton	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-6	17	15.1	15.4	-0.31	17.1	14.5	2.56
Tony Snell	61	61	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-3	11	14.3	16.8	-2.45	16.5	16.0	0.44
Giannis Antetokounmpo	69	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	2	1	14.8	16.3	-1.54	16.0	17.2	-1.25
Sterling Brown	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	6	-7	15.9	14.8	1.18	15.7	16.6	-0.94
Jabari Parker	31	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	5	-5	16.2	14.6	1.52	16.9	16.0	0.89
Jason Terry	27	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	11	-17	15.4	15.1	0.31	14.5	17.1	-2.56
Sean Kilpatrick	19	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	11	-17	16.6	14.8	1.80	14.4	16.8	-2.35
Tyler Zeller	43	42	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.13	-8	13	-21	16.4	14.1	2.33	15.8	16.8	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.73,0.76,0.63,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, NOH 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	93.1%
GSW 98, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.74,1	92.5%
BOS 99, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	92.3%