NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	6.2 [453]		MVP	Xavier Henry (NOH): +18.3%
New Orleans Hornets	105		Comeback	2.3 [551]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -24.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	12	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Terrence Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	11	62%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Donte Greene	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.07	-0.00	19	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Isaiah Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.16	-0.09	-0.00	12	27%	-0.11	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	7	87%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	9	78%	0.12	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	12	56%	0.15	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	12	79%	0.18	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	9	40%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	6	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	58%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Jerome Dyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	23%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.6	29.3	15.4	25.7	2.6	32.3	131.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +50.8%

NOH +9.0%

NOH +7.5%

SAC -19.7%

NOH +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOH	NBA	SAC	NOH	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	15.6	101.1	111.7	102.8
season	14.9	16.3		102.2	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.2	13.6	14.0	16.0	14.7
NOH	15.4	16.4	14.8	16.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	3	2	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-11	13	9.3	14.9	-5.54	18.0	15.7	2.26
Jimmer Fredette	46	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-11	13	13.9	15.5	-1.60	15.6	16.0	-0.47
Charles Hayes	41	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-9	9	15.3	14.2	1.14	16.4	15.3	1.07
Jason Thompson	61	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-11	13	15.3	13.5	1.81	16.6	14.3	2.29
Tyreke Evans	77	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-7	5	14.4	15.8	-1.34	16.5	13.2	3.30
Isaiah Thomas	40	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	1	-11	15.1	14.4	0.74	15.2	16.3	-1.09
Terrence Williams	46	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	14.4	15.0	-0.59	16.1	15.5	0.53
Donte Greene	41	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	3	-15	14.0	15.2	-1.22	15.8	15.7	0.11
DeMarcus Cousins	41	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	14.8	14.6	0.15	14.8	16.5	-1.70
Marcus Thornton	79	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.16	-13	4	-17	15.1	12.9	2.19	14.9	20.3	-5.41

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	47	47	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-10	29	15.6	16.0	-0.43	15.2	14.2	0.94
Jason Smith	54	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-2	13	14.9	16.9	-2.02	15.4	13.9	1.50
Chris Kaman	68	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	5	-1	15.1	17.6	-2.47	15.3	13.1	2.19
Greivis Vasquez	71	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	6	-3	15.4	16.9	-1.49	14.6	14.9	-0.24
Marco Belinelli	60	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	5	-1	15.2	16.8	-1.53	14.6	14.9	-0.26
Jerome Dyson	44	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	2	5	16.5	15.1	1.38	14.3	15.1	-0.76
Gustavo Ayon	24	23	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	3	3	18.3	14.9	3.36	13.8	15.0	-1.15
Lance Thomas	8	8	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	2	5	15.9	15.8	0.10	15.7	14.6	1.15
Carl Landry	40	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	11	-13	16.9	14.9	2.02	13.9	15.4	-1.50
Al-Farouq Aminu	54	55	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.26	-14	23	-37	16.2	15.2	0.98	14.3	15.3	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 85, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	93.3%
ATL 92, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.73,0.76,0.63,0.94,0.96,1	93.1%
DEN 113, POR 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.95,0.89,0.87,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1	92.9%