NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	85		Excitement	5.8 [611]		MVP	Brevin Knight (CLE): +8.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	2.1 [195]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -26.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	9	44%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Kleine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Rodman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Scott Burrell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	19	42%	-0.02	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	-0.27	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27	-0.11	-0.15	0.01	24	48%	-0.17	4	-0.10	12	75%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	13	69%	0.14	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Danny Ferry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.07	3	-0.09	9	78%	0.04
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	5	75%	0.12	6	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	11	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	25.3	15.6	24.2	2.4	33.7	127.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.8%

CLE +6.9%

CHI -10.5%

CLE +4.1%

CLE +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.6	96.6	100.0	102.5
season	16.2	15.4		105.8	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.8		97.0	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.2	17.1	20.8	14.7	16.5
CLE	13.5	18.0	16.2	15.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	36	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-9	12	14.9	17.6	-2.74	16.4	15.2	1.16
Bill Wennington	43	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-5	4	15.9	17.0	-1.12	16.5	15.0	1.47
Randy Brown	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-8	10	17.4	16.3	1.09	17.0	15.5	1.50
Jud Buechler	7	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	19.0	16.3	2.74	12.2	16.0	-3.80
Dickey Simpkins	25	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-3	0	16.7	16.4	0.28	16.0	15.6	0.42
Joe Kleine	18	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-3	0	20.7	15.4	5.27	16.2	15.6	0.64
Scott Burrell	35	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-9	12	16.6	16.4	0.25	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Michael Jordan	69	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.8	19.1	-3.35	15.5	16.6	-1.09
Steve Kerr	46	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	17.3	15.6	1.73	15.4	16.0	-0.55
Scottie Pippen	79	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	3	-12	15.8	22.4	-6.65	15.7	15.8	-0.14
Dennis Rodman	70	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	4	-14	17.0	14.6	2.35	15.4	16.9	-1.46

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	82	81	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-5	16	15.4	18.9	-3.52	16.1	21.1	-5.07
Vitaly Potapenko	39	36	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-3	12	17.4	14.5	2.92	19.5	14.4	5.16
Shawn Kemp	79	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	1	4	15.0	20.5	-5.51	16.4	16.8	-0.34
Carl Thomas	36	34	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	5	-4	16.0	15.5	0.47	14.2	17.9	-3.75
Brevin Knight	71	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	4	-2	15.0	18.3	-3.38	15.8	19.2	-3.38
Bob Sura	33	32	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	1	4	16.7	15.1	1.59	18.9	15.1	3.77
Cedric Henderson	69	66	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	9	-12	15.6	16.0	-0.38	16.3	17.0	-0.70
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	45	45	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	5	-4	16.7	14.7	2.02	16.1	16.9	-0.75
Danny Ferry	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	7	-8	6.0	15.8	-9.82	21.0	16.4	4.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	93.6%
SAC 96, NOH 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	93.3%
HOU 96, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.99,1	93.2%