NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	109		Excitement	7.8 [292]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +18.1%
Houston Rockets	111		Comeback	1.8 [922]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -24.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.24	-0.03	0.03	17	89%	0.25	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.10	0.04	0.06	12	64%	0.12	1	-0.05	9	78%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	70%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	59%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Alexander Johnson	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Eddie Jones	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.08	0.02	30	59%	0.28	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	0.00	10	67%	0.19	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.08
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.17	-0.01	0.03	8	100%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	55%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.04	0.01	11	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.07	-0.01	18	26%	-0.17	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	30.4	15.6	29.3	2.5	39.3	143.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +3.7%

MEM -0.5%

HOU +15.3%

HOU +24.2%

HOU +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	15.4	116.0	116.8	104.5
season	15.1	15.6		105.1	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.1		99.2	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.4	14.9	16.4	13.4	14.5
HOU	15.4	19.4	14.2	15.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	27	28	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.05	4	-6	10	13.3	15.0	-1.71	17.3	15.4	1.89
Alexander Johnson	28	28	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.04	0	-2	2	16.0	13.8	2.17	16.6	15.7	0.83
Jake Tsakalidis	7	8	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-4	6	14.3	14.5	-0.21	15.2	16.1	-0.81
Dahntay Jones	44	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-1	0	15.0	14.0	1.07	16.3	15.7	0.57
Damon Stoudamire	33	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	3	-8	16.4	13.5	2.90	15.2	16.4	-1.27
Hakim Warrick	30	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	3	-8	12.9	15.2	-2.37	16.2	15.9	0.36
Mike Miller	72	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-6	10	13.9	16.3	-2.34	15.7	17.0	-1.30
Chucky Atkins	61	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-5	8	13.5	16.4	-2.90	16.4	15.2	1.27
Pau Gasol	63	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	1	-4	15.3	12.7	2.59	15.8	16.4	-0.54
Stromile Swift	60	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.51	2	-4	6	13.7	15.9	-2.15	15.9	16.2	-0.29
Eddie Jones	45	46	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.41	-11	9	-20	15.5	13.5	2.02	15.3	16.6	-1.24

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	75	75	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.32	16	-14	30	16.2	15.1	1.06	14.8	13.4	1.39
Tracy McGrady	75	73	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.42	9	-7	16	16.0	16.1	-0.14	15.0	12.6	2.39
Rafer Alston	75	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.54	2	0	2	15.0	19.7	-4.76	14.4	14.8	-0.46
Shane Battier	82	81	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	5	-8	15.7	17.8	-2.15	15.2	10.1	5.11
Luther Head	58	58	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.45	-11	13	-24	17.1	14.3	2.82	12.3	17.9	-5.57
Dikembe Mutombo	48	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	-1	4	14.8	17.2	-2.38	15.3	13.8	1.51
John Lucas III	13	13	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-3	8	19.9	15.4	4.56	15.5	14.3	1.23
Scott Padgett	1	0	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	2	-2	3.0	16.1	-13.13	0.0	14.5	-14.48
Steve Novak	7	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	6	-10	13.9	16.2	-2.30	14.6	14.5	0.16
Charles Hayes	41	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	9	-16	17.3	15.0	2.34	13.6	15.2	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.99,1	92.1%
LAC 100, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.91,1	92.1%
ATL 92, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.73,0.76,0.63,0.94,0.96,1	92.0%