NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	7.8 [254]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +17.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	2.2 [771]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -18.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	4	60%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Predrag Drobnjak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	41%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	4	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	10	61%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	15	47%	0.10	4	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	10	37%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Corey Maggette	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	21	50%	-0.15	1	-0.02	20	85%	0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.17	0.17	-0.00	0.17	-0.00	20	56%	0.26	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.07
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.00	2	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	12	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	15	40%	-0.05	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	8	56%	-0.09	4	-0.10	16	50%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.5	35.3	16.7	25.5	2.5	39.2	149.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +53.5%

LAC -16.1%

LAL +0.1%

LAL +12.9%

LAC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.0	15.7	102.0	109.3	100.5
season	15.5	15.4		101.3	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		99.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.9	16.4	16.0	12.9	14.6
LAL	15.9	12.4	15.2	16.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	8	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	0	-6	17.7	14.3	3.47	15.1	15.0	0.15
Matt Barnes	68	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-4	2	14.6	14.4	0.18	14.5	16.0	-1.52
Predrag Drobnjak	20	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	2	-10	16.7	14.0	2.69	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Keyon Dooling	65	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-2	-2	14.5	14.7	-0.16	14.4	16.1	-1.75
Melvin Ely	44	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-4	2	13.8	15.2	-1.35	14.0	15.7	-1.72
Elton Brand	78	77	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-8	10	14.0	16.8	-2.88	14.7	16.0	-1.35
Doug Overton	33	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-4	2	14.7	14.5	0.16	16.1	14.4	1.75
Chris Kaman	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-1	-4	14.8	14.4	0.42	15.6	14.5	1.09
Bobby Simmons	45	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-4	2	14.1	15.0	-0.87	16.5	13.6	2.85
Corey Maggette	88	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-5	4	14.8	12.8	1.96	15.0	15.0	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	62	64	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.42	12	-6	18	13.7	17.3	-3.56	14.8	14.1	0.77
Gary Payton	68	68	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-7	20	14.2	16.8	-2.64	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Shaquille O'Neal	81	80	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-1	8	14.9	15.4	-0.47	14.2	15.9	-1.69
Karl Malone	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-1	8	14.3	17.3	-2.99	14.2	15.7	-1.52
Kobe Bryant	82	83	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	5	-4	14.7	16.4	-1.68	13.7	19.1	-5.40
Luke Walton	22	23	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	7	-8	17.3	14.3	3.02	16.2	14.1	2.16
Devean George	28	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	17.0	14.1	2.89	14.6	14.5	0.11
Slava Medvedenko	17	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	7	-8	15.4	14.9	0.52	15.3	14.4	0.94
Derek Fisher	31	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	12	-18	16.8	14.1	2.73	14.7	14.5	0.14
Kareem Rush	20	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.16	0	6	-6	16.9	14.5	2.48	17.7	13.8	3.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 73, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.78,0.98,1	93.1%
LAL 104, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.84,1	92.7%
SAS 90, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.95,0.91,1	92.5%