inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 94 Excitement6.9 [395] MVPJoakim Noah (CHI): +18.1%
Chicago Bulls 103 Comeback1.9 [706] LVPThabo Sefolosha (CHI): -21.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Childress0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.190.020.061181%0.1600.005100%0.02
Zaza Pachulia0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00453%0.0200.00757%-0.02
Mario West0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Acie Law-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.001850%0.053-0.0800%0.00
Josh Smith-0.110,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.110.00-0.100.011253%-0.052-0.06667%-0.03
Marvin Williams-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.05-0.011431%-0.132-0.024100%0.04
Al Horford-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.13-0.06-0.02525%-0.064-0.11250%-0.01
Joe Johnson-0.180,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.10-0.08-0.001742%-0.034-0.15250%-0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.070.09-0.02868%0.201-0.023100%0.02
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.110.110.080.030.01889%0.173-0.072100%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.020.012358%0.133-0.077100%0.04
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.040.001354%0.082-0.0300%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.001041%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.060.031447%-0.071-0.022100%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.15-0.060.001020%-0.133-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.430.515.523.42.432.5129.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +32.2%
CHI +1.7%
CHI +8.9%
CHI +11.2%
ATL -4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHINBAATLCHINBA
this game14.815.715.4100.0108.4105.7
season15.415.0104.2102.2
opponent15.515.7105.4107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.715.415.613.614.8
CHI16.016.615.115.215.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Acie Law11120.03-0.530.56-0.032-111313.514.9-1.4914.815.8-1.00
Mario West22-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-10116.015.0-8.9632.015.416.65
Zaza Pachulia2828-0.07-0.430.35-0.163-121513.015.5-2.5717.315.02.24
Al Horford6060-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-5116.312.04.2915.016.9-1.96
Josh Childress5554-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.30-1-8714.714.9-0.1815.516.0-0.48
Marvin Williams7073-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.16-6-3-315.014.20.7515.615.9-0.27
Joe Johnson9495-0.500.00-0.50-0.24-90-914.80.014.7715.70.015.71
Mike Bibby8383-0.530.03-0.56-0.21-112-1314.913.51.4915.814.81.00
Josh Smith6768-0.600.10-0.70-0.01-2011-3114.316.0-1.7815.416.4-0.93

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Larry Hughes49490.56-0.060.61-0.0320-113115.715.7-0.0715.813.72.11
Drew Gooden75740.53-0.030.560.1513-41715.815.20.5814.615.4-0.87
Kirk Hinrich78770.52-0.020.540.2310-11115.616.0-0.3615.013.61.44
Joakim Noah56570.470.030.450.0913-41715.416.1-0.6315.613.52.15
Luol Deng78780.380.120.260.2063316.014.21.8614.416.6-2.17
Thabo Sefolosha46450.290.210.080.1554116.115.30.7414.215.3-1.09
Tyrus Thomas19170.020.48-0.47-0.0118-715.815.70.1116.214.51.72
Ben Gordon4646-0.020.52-0.550.30-1120-3115.715.70.0713.516.0-2.56
Andres Nocioni2827-0.250.75-1.000.10-1221-3314.516.2-1.7614.315.0-0.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 104, CHI 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.7,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,193.2%
SAC 104, MIN 1130.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,193.0%
LAL 85, PHX 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,192.5%