NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	104		Excitement	6.1 [613]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (CHI): +20.8%
Chicago Bulls	109		Comeback	1.9 [614]		LVP	Bobby Portis (CHI): -14.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	11	62%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Alan Anderson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	4	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.06	12	64%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Otto Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	19	43%	0.00	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Markieff Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	28%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
John Wall	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	0.05	15	46%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	7	36%	-0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.11	0.01	9	78%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.01	11	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	11	73%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	16	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	5	71%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	15	34%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	8	28%	-0.03	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	32.2	16.4	24.5	3.3	27.6	131.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +59.2%

CHI +0.4%

CHI +10.5%

WAS -18.8%

WAS -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	14.9	103.0	107.9	105.1
season	13.8	14.8		104.1	103.7
opponent	14.9	15.1		105.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.3	14.5	13.1	13.8	13.4
CHI	12.6	15.5	15.7	17.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	36	34	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.09	11	-16	27	13.2	13.5	-0.29	15.6	15.0	0.60
Nene	44	45	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-12	19	13.4	13.4	0.01	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Ramon Sessions	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-10	15	13.5	13.2	0.28	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Markieff Morris	61	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.26	6	-11	17	12.6	14.4	-1.81	15.2	15.1	0.14
Bradley Beal	72	72	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-12	19	13.2	13.8	-0.66	15.2	15.1	0.03
Jared Dudley	40	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	6	-17	14.4	12.6	1.81	15.1	15.2	-0.14
Garrett Temple	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	4	-13	13.3	13.4	-0.05	16.0	14.3	1.69
Otto Porter	37	38	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	13	-31	13.9	13.0	0.89	13.9	15.9	-2.03
Marcin Gortat	57	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	7	-19	13.4	13.4	-0.01	15.5	14.7	0.77
John Wall	64	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	6	-17	13.3	13.5	-0.25	15.5	14.5	0.99

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	60	61	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.23	22	-17	39	15.5	14.7	0.80	13.9	12.5	1.34
Pau Gasol	67	66	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.36	15	-10	25	15.2	15.0	0.24	13.3	13.4	-0.11
E'Twaun Moore	57	59	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-3	11	16.3	13.6	2.70	13.8	12.8	1.02
Mike Dunleavy	55	56	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-3	11	16.3	13.8	2.57	14.2	12.4	1.81
Tony Snell	69	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-8	21	15.4	14.7	0.69	13.8	12.3	1.50
Doug McDermott	61	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	5	-5	14.8	15.7	-0.86	13.1	13.7	-0.65
Aaron Brooks	47	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	12	-19	13.7	16.4	-2.68	12.4	14.1	-1.76
Justin Holiday	17	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	10	-15	12.8	15.6	-2.88	12.3	13.6	-1.24
Bobby Portis	45	44	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	17	-29	14.5	15.7	-1.17	12.4	14.1	-1.76
Cristiano Felicio	27	27	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	0.05	-17	22	-39	14.7	15.3	-0.67	12.9	13.5	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.7,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.5%
SAC 104, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.4%
SEA 103, LAL 119	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%