NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	6.5 [536]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +18.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Comeback	1.8 [757]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -28.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Acy	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	5	90%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
James Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.02	16	66%	0.10	6	-0.14	6	50%	-0.04
Omri Casspi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.04	16	42%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.08
Rudy Gay	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.15	-0.10	0.03	15	33%	-0.17	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.08	0.04	15	64%	0.18	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.01	10	70%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.01	4	58%	0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	17	67%	0.17	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	68%	0.19	6	-0.17	10	50%	-0.05
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	7	44%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	30.5	15.0	27.2	1.7	32.1	133.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +54.9%

MIN +13.0%

SAC -10.3%

SAC -5.9%

SAC -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	13.0	14.9	102.0	108.7	105.1
season	13.9	14.8		104.8	104.8
opponent	15.0	14.6		108.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.9	14.4	17.2	15.0	15.0
MIN	11.9	13.8	13.5	12.7	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	42	42	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.08	12	-21	33	16.5	14.0	2.50	14.1	12.2	1.88
Marco Belinelli	48	49	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-16	23	15.6	14.5	1.12	14.0	12.0	1.98
Darren Collison	55	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-11	13	14.7	15.5	-0.81	13.4	12.4	1.01
James Anderson	29	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	14.4	15.3	-0.86	11.5	13.5	-1.99
Omri Casspi	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-6	3	14.8	15.3	-0.46	13.6	12.3	1.30
Quincy Acy	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-2	-5	15.1	15.0	0.06	12.4	13.5	-1.11
Rudy Gay	71	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	7	-23	14.7	15.9	-1.21	12.6	13.8	-1.17
Rajon Rondo	81	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.14	-16	7	-23	15.2	14.5	0.70	12.4	15.2	-2.80
Kosta Koufos	81	83	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.15	-18	9	-27	14.7	16.3	-1.64	12.8	13.7	-0.96

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	96	94	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-6	21	12.8	14.4	-1.54	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Ricky Rubio	59	59	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.20	13	-4	17	12.1	14.1	-2.00	14.6	15.6	-0.91
Andrew Wiggins	90	88	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-4	17	12.7	14.4	-1.71	15.1	14.3	0.86
Karl-Anthony Towns	62	63	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-5	19	12.4	13.8	-1.48	15.4	14.4	0.96
Gorgui Dieng	81	80	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	-2	13	13.2	12.0	1.22	14.4	17.2	-2.74
Tayshaun Prince	25	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	6	-3	12.2	13.2	-1.04	15.7	14.8	0.94
Greg Smith	30	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	14	-19	13.5	12.7	0.82	16.7	14.4	2.28
Tyus Jones	45	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	13	-17	14.1	12.1	2.00	15.6	14.6	0.91
Nemanja Bjelica	10	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	14	-19	14.7	12.8	1.93	11.2	15.4	-4.25
Shabazz Muhammad	22	22	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	19	-29	14.4	12.6	1.85	15.1	15.0	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 85, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.71,0.85,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.5%
NJN 95, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.4%
LAC 82, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.95,1,1,1	93.9%