NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	85		Excitement	6.0 [589]		MVP	Tracy Murray (LAL): +18.2%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	1.8 [623]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -21.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	4	137%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	11	36%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	11	45%	0.01	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	14	49%	-0.01	5	-0.13	7	100%	0.02
Slava Medvedenko	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.09	0.02	23	41%	-0.19	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.03	0.04	19	66%	0.14	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	4	61%	0.05	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.05	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.3	27.8	15.0	27.1	2.5	33.5	133.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.0%

UTA +10.1%

LAL -2.4%

UTA +1.7%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.5	93.4	101.1	101.6
season	15.4	16.3		105.0	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	16.3	17.3	14.9	15.9
UTA	14.3	16.5	16.1	15.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	22	21	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.08	10	-18	28	16.7	15.6	1.07	18.3	14.8	3.53
Kareem Rush	21	21	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-16	24	15.8	15.9	-0.08	17.9	14.9	2.98
Devean George	20	20	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-12	16	13.8	16.5	-2.65	13.4	16.2	-2.76
Brian Shaw	28	28	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-13	18	14.4	16.5	-2.13	15.9	15.5	0.41
Mark Madsen	5	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-7	6	14.0	16.0	-1.98	9.7	15.9	-6.13
Soumaila Samake	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-4	0	13.6	16.0	-2.40	10.5	16.0	-5.47
Slava Medvedenko	24	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-5	2	18.9	14.8	4.14	16.4	15.3	1.04
Robert Horry	67	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	14.8	18.9	-4.14	15.3	16.4	-1.04
Shaquille O'Neal	68	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	0	-8	16.4	14.3	2.09	16.4	13.2	3.13
Kobe Bryant	80	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.22	-12	4	-16	15.7	17.2	-1.49	15.0	19.8	-4.86
Derek Fisher	54	56	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.14	-17	9	-26	16.7	14.6	2.15	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Rick Fox	61	62	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.19	-17	9	-26	16.2	15.3	0.90	15.7	15.5	0.16

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	76	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-5	18	15.1	18.0	-2.89	15.7	16.8	-1.15
Karl Malone	78	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-6	20	15.3	17.2	-1.89	15.8	16.5	-0.78
John Stockton	64	62	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-4	16	16.2	14.3	1.90	16.8	13.9	2.94
Greg Ostertag	66	65	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	-1	10	15.9	14.9	0.96	16.2	15.0	1.27
Calbert Cheaney	56	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	2	4	16.9	13.6	3.37	17.3	13.7	3.55
Andrei Kirilenko	54	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	10	-12	15.0	16.4	-1.38	14.8	17.5	-2.68
Jarron Collins	24	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	10	-12	14.7	15.9	-1.27	14.7	16.3	-1.52
Mark Jackson	28	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	12	-16	14.3	16.2	-1.90	13.9	16.8	-2.94
Scott Padgett	14	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	14	-20	17.2	15.3	1.89	16.5	15.8	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.71,0.85,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	94.5%
IND 91, NJN 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.91,0.97,1	93.6%
LAL 85, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,1	93.4%