NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	5.9 [607]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +22.1%
New Jersey Nets	102		Comeback	2.1 [673]		LVP	Shawne Williams (IND): -13.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.00	-0.01	22	62%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	15	51%	0.08	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
David Harrison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Troy Murphy	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	59%	0.05	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Stephen Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Owens	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	8	28%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Shawne Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	7	6%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.09	0.01	22	67%	0.31	4	-0.09	10	80%	0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.02	-0.01	9	83%	0.21	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	17	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Ager	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	4	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	32.3	15.4	27.5	2.4	29.6	134.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +36.8%

NJN +14.9%

NJN +17.0%

IND -15.2%

IND -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	13.3	15.4	15.4	91.0	101.0	105.7
season	13.8	15.4		104.5	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.1	14.9	11.2	13.0	13.3
NJN	14.7	14.5	16.5	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	11	13	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-13	15	14.1	13.2	0.92	14.2	15.5	-1.31
Shawne Williams	35	35	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-12	13	13.2	13.3	-0.15	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Andre Owens	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-9	7	4.0	13.4	-9.36	1.0	15.5	-14.52
Stephen Graham	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-9	7	10.5	13.3	-2.83	7.5	15.5	-8.04
Marquis Daniels	54	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-10	9	13.3	13.2	0.14	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Kareem Rush	58	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-6	1	13.0	13.6	-0.60	16.0	14.5	1.46
Troy Murphy	66	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-6	1	13.1	13.5	-0.39	16.3	13.5	2.83
Jeff Foster	52	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	0	-11	13.7	12.8	0.96	14.7	16.0	-1.27
Travis Diener	61	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	13.3	13.2	0.11	14.9	16.1	-1.16
Danny Granger	82	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	1	-13	13.3	13.1	0.26	15.7	13.9	1.84
Mike Dunleavy	78	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	-1	-9	13.3	13.3	-0.06	15.5	14.7	0.84

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Williams	71	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-2	15	15.9	14.1	1.86	13.2	13.4	-0.14
Josh Boone	60	61	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.11	16	-5	21	15.8	14.8	1.00	13.1	13.6	-0.48
Vince Carter	92	92	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-5	21	15.2	17.6	-2.39	13.1	15.1	-2.02
Richard Jefferson	77	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	1	9	15.9	13.6	2.30	13.2	13.5	-0.29
Nenad Krstic	37	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	3	5	14.9	15.6	-0.68	13.7	13.0	0.64
Bostjan Nachbar	57	58	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	15	-19	16.1	14.5	1.55	13.2	13.4	-0.27
Trenton Hassell	35	32	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	12	-13	14.7	15.8	-1.10	13.8	13.0	0.80
Maurice Ager	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	11	-11	17.0	15.4	1.64	0.0	13.3	-13.27
Darrell Armstrong	34	33	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	9	-7	13.6	16.3	-2.70	13.2	13.3	-0.13
DeSagana Diop	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	13	-15	16.7	15.2	1.52	16.0	13.0	3.03
Sean Williams	30	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	14	-17	14.1	15.9	-1.86	12.7	13.5	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.91,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 82, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.71,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.2%
POR 91, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.98,1	94.0%
BOS 92, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%