NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	82		Excitement	5.3 [736]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +15.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.8 [1199]		LVP	E'Twaun Moore (ORL): -27.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	16	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	17	51%	0.06	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
DeQuan Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	13	54%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.27,-0.28,-0.27	-0.13	-0.09	0.05	18	32%	-0.23	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	11	73%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	83%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	0.00	6	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	13	48%	0.05	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.04
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	12	35%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	11	54%	0.02	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.4	27.0	15.8	27.9	2.7	38.3	135.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +27.5%

MEM +4.3%

MEM +22.8%

ORL -5.9%

MEM +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MEM	NBA	ORL	MEM	NBA
this game	16.5	15.1	15.4	90.1	96.7	104.1
season	15.5	16.5		100.3	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.1	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	18.1	16.8	17.4	14.1	16.5
MEM	15.4	15.1	14.5	15.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	62	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	0	-6	17.4	14.8	2.58	15.4	14.6	0.79
Kyle O'Quinn	45	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-8	10	15.0	18.1	-3.07	14.7	15.5	-0.72
E'Twaun Moore	73	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-8	10	16.8	15.4	1.38	15.1	15.0	0.12
Nikola Vucevic	43	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	2	-10	17.8	15.4	2.35	16.3	13.9	2.40
Arron Afflalo	83	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-5	4	16.1	20.9	-4.74	15.4	12.0	3.36
DeQuan Jones	60	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	1	-8	16.1	17.3	-1.17	14.5	16.1	-1.60
Maurice Harkless	89	88	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	6	-18	16.6	14.5	2.10	14.6	29.7	-15.06

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	71	70	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.22	21	-15	36	14.4	17.5	-3.14	16.6	16.4	0.16
Tayshaun Prince	55	55	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-8	22	14.7	15.6	-0.89	16.6	16.5	0.08
Zach Randolph	69	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-6	18	15.2	14.6	0.61	16.6	16.4	0.22
Tony Allen	63	61	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-6	18	14.6	16.3	-1.71	16.6	16.5	0.07
Mike Conley	66	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.16	10	-4	14	15.1	15.0	0.14	16.6	16.3	0.27
Austin Daye	5	4	0.07	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	4	-2	16.6	15.0	1.59	16.2	16.6	-0.31
Tony Wroten	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	9	-12	14.5	15.2	-0.65	15.7	16.7	-1.02
Jerryd Bayless	40	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	13	-20	15.4	14.9	0.54	16.9	16.3	0.63
Darrell Arthur	15	14	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	16	-26	16.4	14.8	1.56	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Quincy Pondexter	31	33	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	16	-26	16.3	14.5	1.86	16.2	16.7	-0.48
Ed Davis	27	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.08	-11	17	-28	15.8	14.8	1.02	16.5	16.6	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.71,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, NJN 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.91,0.97,1	94.2%
TOR 95, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	94.0%
SEA 103, LAL 119	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%