NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	85		Excitement	5.8 [671]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +15.6%
Phoenix Suns	93		Comeback	1.6 [1114]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -17.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	-0.03	17	53%	0.10	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	19	38%	-0.11	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Kobe Bryant	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18	-0.16	-0.05	-0.04	26	31%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.05	0.05	16	70%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	15	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	18	42%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.04	-0.03	16	37%	0.02	4	-0.08	9	78%	0.03
James Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.7	25.2	19.3	27.3	2.8	35.2	136.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +5.4%

PHX +15.1%

PHX +9.7%

PHX +14.6%

PHX +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.1	14.4	15.4	92.4	102.2	104.5
season	15.3	13.8		106.3	112.2
opponent	16.0	14.9		105.0	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.8	17.2	18.4	16.0	17.1
PHX	12.0	13.4	15.0	17.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	30	30	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.12	7	-15	22	16.6	17.4	-0.79	17.5	12.8	4.73
Jordan Farmar	12	12	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-11	14	14.6	17.5	-2.89	14.7	14.3	0.35
Andrew Bynum	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.06	1	-9	10	16.6	17.4	-0.81	16.8	12.9	3.90
Brian Cook	9	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-4	0	17.1	17.1	0.01	14.6	14.3	0.21
Sasha Vujacic	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-6	4	17.0	17.3	-0.33	15.9	12.1	3.80
Lamar Odom	74	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-6	4	17.0	17.6	-0.64	13.7	17.0	-3.29
Smush Parker	34	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	3	-14	18.1	16.5	1.52	11.1	16.2	-5.13
Luke Walton	74	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-4	0	17.5	15.6	1.85	14.2	15.1	-0.93
Ronny Turiaf	58	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	1	-10	17.4	16.6	0.81	12.9	16.8	-3.90
Kobe Bryant	81	79	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.19	-19	11	-30	17.1	16.8	0.32	14.2	15.7	-1.50

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	76	76	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.30	12	-4	16	14.5	13.8	0.67	17.4	15.9	1.48
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-7	22	13.7	16.6	-2.87	17.4	16.0	1.48
Steve Nash	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.16	12	-4	16	13.8	16.3	-2.47	17.3	16.3	1.02
Shawn Marion	83	84	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	2	4	14.1	17.5	-3.44	16.9	19.2	-2.36
Leandro Barbosa	62	63	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	2	4	15.9	11.1	4.73	16.8	17.8	-1.02
James Jones	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.12	-1	9	-10	11.5	16.3	-4.85	17.4	16.9	0.47
Boris Diaw	31	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	13	-18	16.3	13.3	2.97	16.8	17.3	-0.49
Kurt Thomas	24	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	13	-18	16.5	13.6	2.96	16.2	17.4	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.99,1,1	94.6%
PHX 117, HOU 120	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.98,1	93.6%
SAC 104, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.5%