NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	82		Excitement	5.2 [467]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +22.1%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	1.3 [640]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): -17.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	1	117%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	12	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	33%	-0.03	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Charles Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	5	70%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	6	7%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	0.00	11	52%	-0.03	7	-0.14	5	80%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.09	0.00	11	90%	0.28	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	64%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	13	27%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	14	47%	0.00	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	28.0	15.6	27.2	1.8	29.0	129.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.8%

TOR +1.8%

TOR +20.0%

LAC -1.2%

LAC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	TOR	NBA	LAC	TOR	NBA
this game	18.0	15.9	15.8	96.5	109.4	99.6
season	16.7	15.6		97.5	99.0
opponent	15.9	14.7		101.2	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.7	17.9	15.8	19.6	18.0
TOR	14.0	14.8	16.9	18.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	23	22	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-18	25	16.7	18.4	-1.72	17.2	15.5	1.69
Tyrone Nesby	20	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-10	9	19.2	17.6	1.70	16.0	15.9	0.16
Lamond Murray	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-10	9	17.4	18.8	-1.38	16.6	14.9	1.72
Michael Olowokandi	48	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-7	3	18.3	17.5	0.73	15.1	17.0	-1.89
Lorenzen Wright	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-8	5	16.7	19.3	-2.63	15.7	16.2	-0.47
Charles Smith	29	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-8	5	18.1	17.9	0.28	17.0	15.4	1.60
Rodney Rogers	43	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	17.5	18.4	-0.85	16.0	15.8	0.23
Eric Piatkowski	47	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-1	-9	18.3	17.6	0.68	15.6	16.4	-0.84
Maurice Taylor	57	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	5	-21	18.7	16.5	2.17	15.8	16.1	-0.27
Sherman Douglas	62	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	7	-25	18.4	16.7	1.72	15.5	17.2	-1.69

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	62	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	3	5	16.0	15.8	0.14	17.5	19.4	-1.90
Vince Carter	51	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	5	1	15.8	16.1	-0.31	19.0	16.3	2.70
Kevin Willis	41	39	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.03	13	-2	15	15.5	16.3	-0.81	17.1	18.7	-1.67
Alvin Williams	37	37	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	2	7	16.5	15.5	0.94	16.6	19.0	-2.41
Tracy McGrady	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	0	11	15.9	16.0	-0.12	18.6	17.1	1.52
John Thomas	46	45	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	6	-1	16.3	15.5	0.82	19.0	16.7	2.32
Doug Christie	61	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	7	-3	16.0	15.9	0.08	17.8	18.4	-0.60
Dee Brown	52	51	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	8	-5	15.7	16.3	-0.61	17.8	18.2	-0.42
Michael Stewart	3	4	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	8	-5	13.0	16.0	-3.04	22.0	17.8	4.25
John Wallace	22	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	18	-25	16.2	15.8	0.40	17.2	18.2	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 76, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
NYK 114, ORL 122	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1	95.1%
SAC 79, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%