NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	79		Excitement	5.0 [804]		MVP	Keyon Dooling (NJN): +7.4%
New Jersey Nets	93		Comeback	1.5 [551]		LVP	Omri Casspi (SAC): -14.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte Greene	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Sean May	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.03	0.07	13	73%	0.07	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	13	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	13	43%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.02	8	12%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	21	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.06	13	65%	0.06	4	-0.10	11	91%	0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.0	29.3	15.4	25.2	1.6	29.2	128.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +27.8%

NJN +3.9%

SAC -5.1%

NJN +21.1%

NJN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.3	88.8	103.3	106.0
season	15.2	15.9		103.7	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.3	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.3	16.2	16.0	15.2	15.7
NJN	16.0	15.1	14.0	21.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	0	1	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-14	14	0.0	15.7	-15.72	6.0	16.6	-10.57
Sean May	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-14	14	11.8	16.0	-4.17	16.7	16.4	0.28
Ime Udoka	28	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-21	28	15.2	15.9	-0.68	17.9	15.8	2.03
Omri Casspi	31	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-14	14	14.1	16.6	-2.49	17.2	16.0	1.19
Andres Nocioni	19	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.03	-4	-10	6	15.9	15.7	0.22	20.2	15.5	4.69
Jason Thompson	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-10	6	15.0	16.5	-1.51	17.6	15.3	2.38
Spencer Hawes	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-6	-2	15.9	15.2	0.67	16.0	17.7	-1.69
Carl Landry	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	1	-16	16.5	14.2	2.24	16.5	16.3	0.25
Donte Greene	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-2	-10	16.0	14.8	1.12	14.7	22.1	-7.42
Beno Udrih	74	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.12	-12	-2	-10	16.0	14.4	1.59	16.6	15.6	1.00
Francisco Garcia	51	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.18	-22	8	-30	16.2	15.1	1.07	15.5	17.7	-2.17

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	63	64	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-5	24	15.1	19.6	-4.43	16.2	14.6	1.61
Brook Lopez	74	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	1	12	16.0	18.6	-2.56	15.8	15.1	0.72
Courtney Lee	71	70	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	3	8	15.5	20.1	-4.63	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Jarvis Hayes	63	62	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	4	6	16.2	17.1	-0.88	16.1	14.8	1.30
Yi Jianlian	52	52	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	7	0	14.8	18.7	-3.81	15.9	15.5	0.44
Chris Douglas-Roberts	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	9	-4	18.6	14.8	3.77	15.2	16.2	-1.01
Kris Humphries	33	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	8	-2	18.3	15.4	2.96	15.1	16.1	-0.98
Josh Boone	21	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	12	-10	19.1	15.7	3.44	15.8	15.7	0.06
Trenton Hassell	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	12	-10	16.9	16.4	0.44	16.4	15.7	0.77
Keyon Dooling	25	24	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	17	-20	19.9	15.1	4.74	15.0	16.0	-0.93
Chris Quinn	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	15.5	16.5	-0.98	3.0	15.9	-12.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 88, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,1	95.7%
SAC 85, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAC 82, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.95,1,1,1	95.1%