NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	88		Excitement	5.0 [775]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIN): +5.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	1.5 [664]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -19.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	76%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	6	86%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mills	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	38%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Herb Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Charles Oakley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.02	-0.03	9	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Allan Houston	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	17	50%	-0.01	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	12	50%	-0.11	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.04	9	65%	0.09	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	21	54%	0.05	2	-0.03	12	75%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	11	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Doug West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	14	45%	0.01	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.3	26.4	15.0	28.5	1.8	36.2	135.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +17.4%

MIN +7.7%

MIN +16.6%

MIN +10.2%

NYK -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.6	94.6	104.4	102.5
season	15.7	14.8		100.4	105.3
opponent	15.7	16.3		104.9	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.6	17.0	16.6	12.7	15.8
MIN	15.0	15.7	16.1	15.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	15	13	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-10	13	17.9	15.5	2.41	16.8	15.2	1.54
Herb Williams	14	15	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-9	11	14.1	16.2	-2.09	15.3	15.5	-0.22
John Starks	48	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-1	-5	15.9	15.8	0.01	14.6	16.3	-1.70
Chris Childs	51	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	16.3	15.3	0.94	16.0	14.9	1.07
Charlie Ward	49	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-8	9	15.2	16.6	-1.45	15.6	15.3	0.27
Larry Johnson	73	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	16.4	13.8	2.61	15.9	13.8	2.12
Chris Mills	61	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	0	-7	15.5	16.5	-0.99	15.0	16.3	-1.32
Allan Houston	78	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	2	-11	15.9	15.7	0.22	15.2	16.6	-1.38
Charles Oakley	77	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	2	-11	15.6	16.9	-1.31	15.2	16.6	-1.40

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	78	83	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-4	15	15.3	16.3	-1.00	15.6	18.2	-2.63
Kevin Garnett	58	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-2	11	15.3	15.7	-0.43	17.4	12.7	4.66
Sam Mitchell	71	72	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	4	-1	15.5	15.4	0.06	15.5	17.0	-1.55
Terry Porter	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	2	3	14.9	17.2	-2.36	14.9	18.2	-3.25
Stanley Roberts	38	41	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	-1	9	15.7	15.2	0.49	17.6	14.4	3.19
Doug West	56	58	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	2	3	16.1	14.4	1.71	16.1	15.5	0.63
Cherokee Parks	43	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.28	-5	12	-17	15.3	15.5	-0.19	13.1	18.1	-4.98
Tom Hammonds	24	24	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	4	-1	15.7	15.3	0.41	16.5	15.6	0.82
Reggie Jordan	18	15	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	9	-11	16.7	15.2	1.52	17.7	15.5	2.17
DeJuan Wheat	1	1	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	9	-11	3.0	15.6	-12.59	15.0	15.9	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 79, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
VAN 100, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
UTA 85, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	95.2%