NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	5.5 [756]		MVP	Casey Jacobsen (NOH): +6.6%
New Orleans Hornets	92		Comeback	1.5 [969]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -18.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.00	15	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Curtis Borchardt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	14	49%	-0.01	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Kris Humphries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	15	47%	-0.10	1	-0.02	15	73%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	69%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	54%	0.02	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	9	30%	-0.07	5	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	5	31%	-0.08	4	-0.10	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	27.5	15.4	27.5	2.4	37.5	138.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +48.7%

UTA -10.4%

NOH +9.1%

UTA -4.1%

NOH +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOH	NBA	UTA	NOH	NBA
this game	16.3	14.6	15.5	91.4	98.9	104.0
season	16.7	16.5		102.3	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		105.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.9	17.8	18.0	14.2	16.3
NOH	14.7	15.7	14.7	13.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	22	22	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-11	15	16.8	16.2	0.56	16.3	14.1	2.16
Randy Livingston	14	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.20	6	-13	19	11.6	17.2	-5.53	14.5	14.6	-0.15
Kirk Snyder	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-10	13	14.2	17.2	-2.99	13.5	15.1	-1.56
Gordan Giricek	10	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	0	-7	17.2	16.2	0.96	14.7	14.6	0.15
Raja Bell	57	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-4	1	17.2	15.0	2.15	15.1	13.9	1.23
Howard Eisley	34	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	1	-9	16.5	16.3	0.20	13.3	15.4	-2.05
Matt Harpring	75	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-11	15	15.7	19.1	-3.43	14.7	14.2	0.52
Keith McLeod	45	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-2	-3	17.7	15.1	2.65	15.6	13.7	1.98
Mehmet Okur	34	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	1	-9	17.6	15.6	2.05	14.0	15.0	-0.98
Kris Humphries	24	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	2	-11	17.0	16.1	0.88	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Curtis Borchardt	51	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	16.1	16.7	-0.59	14.8	14.5	0.31
Andrei Kirilenko	73	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	1	-9	16.3	16.6	-0.39	14.4	15.4	-1.00

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	61	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	-7	21	13.6	16.7	-3.10	16.1	16.8	-0.76
Speedy Claxton	41	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-4	15	13.6	15.4	-1.77	16.6	16.1	0.53
Jackson Vroman	52	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.30	1	6	-5	15.8	13.1	2.77	17.4	15.0	2.32
P.J. Brown	73	75	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	8	-9	14.6	14.5	0.09	15.9	18.4	-2.54
Casey Jacobsen	37	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	0	7	13.6	15.3	-1.66	16.5	16.3	0.19
Lee Nailon	45	45	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	7	-7	14.6	14.7	-0.13	16.7	16.0	0.62
J.R. Smith	56	56	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	7	-7	15.3	13.6	1.66	16.3	16.5	-0.19
George Lynch	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	5	-3	14.3	14.8	-0.54	15.1	17.0	-1.94
Bostjan Nachbar	15	15	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	2	3	15.6	14.4	1.16	18.1	16.0	2.13
Dan Dickau	52	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.21	-4	11	-15	15.4	13.6	1.77	16.1	16.6	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 81, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DET 94, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	95.4%
NYK 81, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%