NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	81		Excitement	4.5 [941]		MVP	Beno Udrih (SAS): +5.2%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.7 [901]		LVP	Tim Thomas (NYK): -19.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	4	50%	0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	12	45%	-0.07	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.03	0.05	15	45%	-0.05	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	80%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.03	5	-0.11	12	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.0	29.1	16.8	25.2	2.6	31.3	137.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +28.1%

SAS +8.4%

NYK -0.5%

SAS +13.2%

SAS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.5	89.0	106.5	104.0
season	15.8	16.3		103.9	105.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		98.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	15.5	18.0	17.6	16.8
SAS	12.6	16.5	14.1	15.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	15.5	16.8	-1.33	18.0	14.4	3.59
Trevor Ariza	10	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-14	10	13.8	17.2	-3.37	15.3	14.4	0.85
Nazr Mohammed	49	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-11	4	17.3	16.2	1.09	14.2	14.9	-0.77
Jerome Williams	25	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-15	12	15.0	17.5	-2.48	16.1	13.9	2.23
Tim Thomas	62	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-6	-6	17.5	15.3	2.24	14.6	14.4	0.14
Stephon Marbury	75	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-6	-6	17.2	15.0	2.19	14.3	15.7	-1.36
Kurt Thomas	74	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	-5	-8	16.8	16.8	0.05	14.5	14.8	-0.29
Jamal Crawford	81	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-7	-4	16.9	16.4	0.45	14.7	13.7	0.99
Michael Sweetney	34	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-5	-8	17.4	16.5	0.93	13.9	14.9	-0.97
Anfernee Hardaway	43	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	-3	-12	15.8	17.7	-1.96	14.2	14.8	-0.63

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	50	47	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-1	20	13.2	16.0	-2.78	17.6	16.0	1.55
Malik Rose	42	39	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	9	0	13.5	15.4	-1.96	17.6	16.2	1.38
Tim Duncan	73	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	4	10	14.4	15.0	-0.67	17.4	14.4	2.94
Manu Ginobili	60	60	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	7	4	15.1	13.4	1.71	16.5	17.5	-0.98
Tony Parker	69	66	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	7	4	14.3	15.3	-1.03	16.9	16.6	0.22
Rasho Nesterovic	53	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	6	6	14.5	14.5	0.00	16.3	17.4	-1.11
Beno Udrih	24	26	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	13	-8	15.3	14.3	1.03	16.0	17.1	-1.12
Bruce Bowen	60	60	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.12	9	9	0	14.4	14.7	-0.26	17.2	16.0	1.22
Robert Horry	18	18	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	17	-16	17.6	13.8	3.82	14.1	17.5	-3.35
Devin Brown	12	11	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	19	-20	15.7	14.3	1.40	14.7	17.1	-2.36
Mike Wilks	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	19.2	14.3	4.94	16.7	16.8	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	95.2%
DAL 85, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
HOU 92, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%