NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	85		Excitement	4.7 [534]		MVP	Pat Garrity (PHX): +12.3%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	1.6 [621]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -15.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	16	72%	0.11	5	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Robert Pack	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	55%	0.04	1	-0.00	5	60%	0.01
Samaki Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
A.C. Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0.04	8	56%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	13	47%	-0.05	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Michael Finley	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	11	27%	-0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	10	83%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	16	63%	0.14	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Gerald Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	7	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	9	42%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	16	58%	0.08	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	2	33%	-0.03	1	0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	9	32%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	26.6	15.5	25.3	2.4	26.2	123.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.3%

PHX +5.3%

DAL -0.7%

PHX +3.0%

PHX +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	16.8	15.8	95.5	103.4	99.6
season	15.9	15.3		99.7	102.7
opponent	15.9	15.6		101.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	14.8	17.7	15.1	15.6
PHX	15.2	15.9	13.7	23.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	22	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-13	19	13.3	16.3	-3.06	17.5	16.5	1.01
A.C. Green	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-6	5	14.9	16.0	-1.13	15.3	17.7	-2.38
Samaki Walker	31	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-8	9	14.5	16.2	-1.72	20.6	14.7	5.87
Michael Finley	53	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-3	-1	15.7	15.4	0.26	15.7	18.3	-2.63
Steve Nash	58	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	3	-13	16.2	14.4	1.82	17.4	15.7	1.65
Hubert Davis	48	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	15.5	15.6	-0.07	17.5	15.9	1.66
Dirk Nowitzki	81	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	15.9	12.7	3.10	16.8	17.1	-0.37
Gary Trent	61	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	4	-15	16.0	14.6	1.46	14.7	21.3	-6.62
Robert Pack	56	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	1	-9	15.9	15.0	0.86	17.4	15.8	1.54

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	68	67	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-7	21	17.1	15.9	1.22	17.2	10.7	6.44
Jason Kidd	85	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-6	19	16.9	14.7	2.13	15.9	5.7	10.25
Rex Chapman	57	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	-3	13	14.9	20.1	-5.21	15.9	14.9	1.07
Pat Garrity	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.28	1	6	-5	14.9	20.2	-5.26	15.6	15.6	-0.03
George McCloud	42	42	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	3	1	19.4	14.5	4.91	14.9	16.2	-1.27
Tom Gugliotta	60	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	1	5	15.7	19.1	-3.44	15.6	15.4	0.24
Danny Manning	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	-1	9	19.0	15.2	3.74	15.2	15.9	-0.72
Chris Morris	28	26	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.30	-7	14	-21	20.2	15.2	5.00	13.7	16.3	-2.60
Gerald Brown	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	13	-19	14.7	16.9	-2.13	5.7	15.9	-10.25
Marko Milic	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	13	-19	14.7	16.9	-2.13	5.7	15.9	-10.25
Joe Kleine	3	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	9	-11	11.7	17.0	-5.30	10.5	15.7	-5.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 75, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NYK 81, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
UTA 85, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	95.1%