NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	92		Excitement	4.9 [808]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +9.9%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	1.6 [795]		LVP	Greg Ostertag (UTA): -14.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clyde Drexler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	18	42%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	0	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sedale Threatt	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.00	0.06	12	47%	-0.06	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.13	22	57%	-0.06	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.01
Mario Elie	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Matt Maloney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	38%	-0.06	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	14	65%	0.11	2	-0.01	12	100%	0.04
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.02	9	74%	0.12	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	21	46%	-0.03	2	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.8	30.2	25.3	28.3	2.8	39.3	153.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.0%

UTA +4.0%

UTA +22.1%

HOU -11.8%

HOU -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.6	101.1	114.3	104.4
season	15.5	15.6		107.2	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.4		102.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	15.2	18.7	15.9	16.0
UTA	18.6	14.1	12.7	17.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	4	3	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-16	20	8.0	16.4	-8.36	18.7	15.6	3.11
Matt Maloney	69	68	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.30	9	-21	30	15.6	17.2	-1.57	16.4	13.4	3.04
Eddie Johnson	15	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-5	-2	17.3	15.7	1.53	11.6	16.4	-4.75
Hakeem Olajuwon	69	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-12	12	15.6	17.2	-1.63	17.1	10.9	6.24
Clyde Drexler	84	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-5	-2	15.7	19.0	-3.26	15.8	14.0	1.78
Kevin Willis	46	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	1	-14	15.4	16.6	-1.25	14.8	16.5	-1.67
Mario Elie	83	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-2	-8	16.0	15.7	0.26	16.2	9.9	6.34
Sedale Threatt	22	23	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.15	-21	9	-30	17.2	15.6	1.57	13.4	16.4	-3.04
Charles Barkley	63	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	3	-18	17.4	12.9	4.52	14.6	18.4	-3.87

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	40	39	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.08	23	-11	34	15.0	16.2	-1.22	16.8	15.4	1.41
Jeff Hornacek	67	65	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	2	8	16.4	13.6	2.82	16.0	16.0	-0.02
Bryon Russell	73	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	3	6	15.4	16.7	-1.32	15.7	17.2	-1.53
Karl Malone	76	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	4	4	16.2	12.9	3.26	15.6	17.6	-1.98
Howard Eisley	12	11	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	0	12	16.2	15.6	0.68	18.9	15.6	3.32
Shandon Anderson	29	30	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	7	-2	14.8	16.1	-1.32	17.4	15.3	2.10
Antoine Carr	37	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	12	-12	15.6	15.7	-0.11	16.1	15.9	0.20
John Stockton	79	80	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	12	-12	15.6	16.2	-0.68	15.6	18.9	-3.32
Chris Morris	13	13	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	12	-12	15.3	15.7	-0.41	14.4	16.3	-1.87
Greg Ostertag	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	15	-18	14.9	16.0	-1.08	16.8	15.6	1.20
Stephen Howard	3	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	16	-20	18.7	15.6	3.11	8.0	16.4	-8.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.91,1	95.4%
MEM 90, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 89, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%