NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	76		Excitement	4.2 [932]		MVP	Antonio Davis (IND): +5.2%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	1.4 [1143]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (MIL): -15.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	17	68%	0.09	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jamie Feick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Nordgaard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	17	54%	0.01	3	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	2	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Armen Gilliam	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Ricky Pierce	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.05	-0.04	12	36%	-0.05	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.06	15	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	47%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.06	0.00	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	0%	-0.13
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	3	67%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.5	15.6	23.4	1.7	26.1	120.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +42.9%

MIL -3.2%

IND +5.6%

IND +1.4%

IND +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	18.9	16.1	15.6	92.7	115.7	102.5
season	16.0	16.0		101.1	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.1		99.2	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	20.9	18.7	17.2	18.7	18.9
IND	15.1	16.5	16.3	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamie Feick	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-20	20	9.3	19.2	-9.88	23.3	15.8	7.53
Jeff Nordgaard	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-20	20	9.3	19.2	-9.88	23.3	15.8	7.53
Jerald Honeycutt	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-20	20	9.3	19.2	-9.88	23.3	15.8	7.53
Armen Gilliam	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-20	20	18.7	18.9	-0.24	17.5	15.3	2.24
Litterial Green	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-18	16	17.4	19.0	-1.64	19.5	15.7	3.79
Ricky Pierce	36	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-21	22	18.6	19.1	-0.53	18.0	14.6	3.38
Andrew Lang	8	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-14	8	19.2	18.8	0.44	12.4	16.4	-3.98
Ervin Johnson	52	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.11	-17	-3	-14	19.3	18.1	1.14	16.3	15.7	0.54
Michael Curry	30	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	3	-26	19.4	18.6	0.81	14.9	16.8	-1.87
Ray Allen	72	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-4	-12	19.0	17.7	1.31	15.3	22.3	-7.02
Tyrone Hill	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-3	-14	19.0	18.1	0.88	15.4	20.5	-5.16
Elliot Perry	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	-2	-16	19.0	17.4	1.64	15.7	19.5	-3.79

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	55	54	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.26	30	-10	40	15.1	18.1	-3.02	19.6	17.4	2.22
Dale Davis	58	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	2	16	16.2	15.8	0.33	18.3	20.1	-1.82
Rik Smits	56	55	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.18	24	-4	28	15.4	17.4	-1.92	19.7	17.1	2.65
Chris Mullin	46	44	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	5	10	15.0	17.4	-2.31	19.3	18.4	0.90
Reggie Miller	48	46	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.10	18	2	16	16.3	15.8	0.47	20.5	16.7	3.75
Derrick McKey	30	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	19	-18	16.3	15.9	0.36	18.2	19.3	-1.04
Jalen Rose	42	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.09	5	15	-10	16.4	15.8	0.62	18.0	19.7	-1.75
Antonio Davis	42	42	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	17	-14	16.9	15.2	1.64	18.2	19.5	-1.26
Austin Croshere	10	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	24	-28	17.4	15.9	1.51	16.0	19.2	-3.25
Travis Best	28	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.17	-10	30	-40	18.1	15.1	3.02	17.4	19.6	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 71, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
IND 97, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 85, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%